Sussex won by 16 runs
Before a ball was bowled the model made Sussex 54% favourites, from the two XIs that took the field.
Sussex win
Middlesex win
Turning point −19 to Middlesex. 18.5, the chase: Tymal Mills to Ryan Higgins, 6 runs, 182/5, needing 21. Sussex went from 94% to 75%.
Moved it most Ryan Higgins +41.5 · Tymal Mills −29.2 · Daniel Hughes +21.2 · Ollie Robinson +15.4
| Batting | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Wardb NB Cornwell | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | +2.5 |
| Daniel Hughesrun out (TG Helm) | 38 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 190.0 | +21.2 |
| John Simpsonc HJH Brookes b Zafar Gohar | 22 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 183.3 | +8.5 |
| James Colesnot out | 77* | 44 | 5 | 5 | 175.0 | −2.2 |
| Thomas Alsoplbw b LBK Hollman | 18 | 18 | 0 | 1 | 100.0 | −10.4 |
| Tom Clarknot out | 26* | 21 | 3 | 0 | 123.8 | −3.5 |
| Extras lb 5, w 8, nb 2 | 15 | |||||
| Total 20 ov, 10.10 an over | 202/4 | |||||
Did not bat Daniel Lamb, Nathan McAndrew, Ollie Robinson, Tymal Mills, Bradley Currie
Fall of wickets 12-1 (Ward, 1.1), 53-2 (Simpson, 4.5), 78-3 (Hughes, 7.1), 114-4 (Alsop, 12.1)
| Bowling | O | M | R | W | Econ | Dots | Wd | Nb | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zafar Gohar | 3 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 8.33 | 5 | 3 | 0 | −6.1 |
| Noah Cornwell | 4 | 0 | 47 | 1 | 11.75 | 7 | 1 | 0 | −8.8 |
| Thomas Helm | 4 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 8.00 | 8 | 3 | 0 | −6.9 |
| Henry Brookes | 2 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 16.00 | 3 | 1 | 2 | −8.5 |
| Luke Hollman | 4 | 0 | 38 | 1 | 9.50 | 7 | 0 | 0 | −6.1 |
| Ryan Higgins | 3 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 7.67 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +3.8 |
Fielding Thomas Helm +10.6 (run-outs)
| Batting | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Eskinazic OE Robinson b BJ Currie | 34 | 30 | 3 | 1 | 113.3 | −11.2 |
| Kane Williamsonc HD Ward b BJ Currie | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 116.7 | −6.8 |
| BBA Geddesc BJ Currie b OE Robinson | 51 | 37 | 2 | 2 | 137.8 | −2.0 |
| Leus du Plooyc TGR Clark b TS Mills | 11 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 183.3 | +0.2 |
| Jack Daviesb OE Robinson | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 116.7 | +0.7 |
| Luke Hollmanc HD Ward b TS Mills | 20 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 222.2 | +2.2 |
| Ryan Higginsb OE Robinson | 44 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 275.0 | +37.6 |
| Zafar Goharnot out | 1* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.3 | −0.9 |
| Noah Cornwellnot out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.0 |
| Extras lb 1, w 2 | 3 | |||||
| Total 20 ov, 9.30 an over | 186/7 | |||||
Did not bat Henry Brookes, Thomas Helm
Fall of wickets 26-1 (Williamson, 3.3), 84-2 (Eskinazi, 11), 98-3 (du Plooy, 12.3), 107-4 (Davies, 13.5), 136-5 (Hollman, 16.1), 182-6 (Geddes, 19.1), 185-7 (Higgins, 19.5)
| Bowling | O | M | R | W | Econ | Dots | Wd | Nb | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ollie Robinson | 4 | 0 | 27 | 3 | 6.75 | 13 | 2 | 0 | +15.4 |
| Bradley Currie | 4 | 0 | 38 | 2 | 9.50 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +4.8 |
| Tymal Mills | 4 | 0 | 54 | 2 | 13.50 | 6 | 0 | 0 | −29.2 |
| James Coles | 3 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 7.00 | 5 | 0 | 0 | +3.9 |
| Nathan McAndrew | 4 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 8.00 | 9 | 0 | 0 | −11.1 |
| Daniel Lamb | 1 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 13.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | −3.5 |
Win is the win chance a player added for his side, in points (100 = a match turned round): batting in the top table, bowling in the bottom. Point at or tap a player to see his balls on the chart.
The whole match on one screen: a row for every over, a square for every ball, coloured by how far it moved the match. Pick any ball, play it through, or click a name to follow one player.
The balls that decided it
