Glamorgan won by 5 wickets
Before a ball was bowled the model made Middlesex 58% favourites, from the two XIs that took the field. They lost.
Middlesex win
Glamorgan win
Turning point +11 to Middlesex. 5.6, the chase: Thomas Helm to Colin Ingram, wicket, 40/4, needing 85. Middlesex went from 12% to 23%.
Moved it most Asa Tribe +21.9 · Mason Crane +14.4 · JM De Caires −14.4 · Luke Hollman −14.3
| Batting | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Eskinazic WT Smale b MS Crane | 14 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 60.9 | −14.2 |
| Kane Williamsonrun out (H Kerr) | 25 | 22 | 2 | 1 | 113.6 | +4.3 |
| BBA Geddesb MS Crane | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | −3.6 |
| Leus du Plooyc AM Tribe b MS Crane | 18 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 112.5 | −5.5 |
| Jack Daviesc H Kerr b BI Kellaway | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 66.7 | −4.3 |
| Ryan Higginsc AM Tribe b DA Douthwaite | 21 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 175.0 | +4.8 |
| Luke Hollmanc T van der Gugten b MS Crane | 14 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 140.0 | +1.8 |
| JM De Cairesc CB Cooke b T van der Gugten | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.0 | −4.2 |
| Zafar Goharc KS Carlson b DA Douthwaite | 7 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 58.3 | −3.3 |
| Thomas Helmnot out | 5* | 6 | 0 | 0 | 83.3 | −2.1 |
| Noah Cornwellnot out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.0 |
| Extras b 4, lb 2, w 1 | 7 | |||||
| Total 20 ov, 6.20 an over | 124/9 | |||||
Fall of wickets 45-1 (Eskinazi, 7.1), 46-2 (Williamson, 7.4), 58-3 (Geddes, 9.1), 65-4 (Davies, 10.4), 89-5 (du Plooy, 13.4), 109-6 (Hollman, 15.5), 109-7 (Higgins, 16.1), 111-8 (De Caires, 17.1), 123-9 (Gohar, 19.5)
| Bowling | O | M | R | W | Econ | Dots | Wd | Nb | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T van der Gugten | 4 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 3.50 | 13 | 0 | 0 | −2.0 |
| Hayden Kerr | 4 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 6.75 | 11 | 0 | 0 | +3.0 |
| Daniel Douthwaite | 4 | 0 | 18 | 2 | 4.50 | 11 | 1 | 0 | +9.8 |
| BI Kellaway | 3 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 6.67 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +1.3 |
| Mason Crane | 4 | 0 | 28 | 4 | 7.00 | 10 | 0 | 0 | +14.4 |
| AW Gorvin | 1 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 11.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | −6.1 |
Fielding Hayden Kerr +5.9 (run-outs)
| Batting | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kiran Carlsonc JL du Plooy b Zafar Gohar | 16 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 160.0 | +5.5 |
| William Smaleb NB Cornwell | 6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 60.0 | −5.9 |
| BI Kellawayc JLB Davies b TG Helm | 14 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 140.0 | +6.2 |
| Colin Ingramc JLB Davies b TG Helm | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 75.0 | −2.6 |
| Chris Cookec JM De Caires b TG Helm | 16 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 114.3 | +5.5 |
| Asa Tribenot out | 40* | 26 | 0 | 4 | 153.8 | +21.9 |
| Daniel Douthwaitenot out | 31* | 19 | 0 | 4 | 163.2 | +2.7 |
| Extras w 2 | 2 | |||||
| Total 15.3 ov, 8.26 an over | 128/5 | |||||
Did not bat Hayden Kerr, Mason Crane, T van der Gugten, AW Gorvin
Fall of wickets 22-1 (Carlson, 3), 22-2 (Smale, 3.2), 39-3 (Kellaway, 5.3), 40-4 (Ingram, 6), 64-5 (Cooke, 9.1)
| Bowling | O | M | R | W | Econ | Dots | Wd | Nb | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Cornwell | 2 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 6.00 | 6 | 0 | 0 | −6.4 |
| Thomas Helm | 3.3 | 0 | 29 | 3 | 8.29 | 9 | 0 | 0 | +11.9 |
| Zafar Gohar | 4 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 5.75 | 12 | 2 | 0 | −9.9 |
| JM De Caires | 1 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 10.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | −10.2 |
| Luke Hollman | 4 | 0 | 44 | 0 | 11.00 | 8 | 0 | 0 | −16.1 |
| Ryan Higgins | 1 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 10.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | −8.5 |
Win is the win chance a player added for his side, in points (100 = a match turned round): batting in the top table, bowling in the bottom. Point at or tap a player to see his balls on the chart.
The whole match on one screen: a row for every over, a square for every ball, coloured by how far it moved the match. Pick any ball, play it through, or click a name to follow one player.
The balls that decided it
