Surrey won by 4 wickets
Before a ball was bowled the model made Surrey 62% favourites, from the two XIs that took the field.
Kent win
Surrey win
Turning point +30 to Kent. 19.4, the chase: Matthew Parkinson to Laurie Evans, 1 run, 167/6, needing 5. Kent went from 31% to 61%.
Moved it most Chris Jordan +57.9 · NN Gilchrist −35.7 · Jason Roy +26.0 · Grant Stewart −24.5
| Batting | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tawanda Muyeyec & b MJ Santner | 37 | 31 | 3 | 1 | 119.4 | −2.8 |
| Daniel Bell-Drummondc SM Curran b CJ Jordan | 19 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 146.2 | −4.3 |
| Harry Finchc WG Jacks b MJ Santner | 19 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 95.0 | −8.6 |
| Joseph Denlyc LJ Evans b CJ Jordan | 40 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 181.8 | +6.5 |
| Samuel Billingsc WG Jacks b CJ Jordan | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | −6.3 |
| Jack Leaningc OFM Sykes b SM Curran | 24 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 150.0 | +0.8 |
| Grant Stewartc SM Curran b CJ Jordan | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | −6.3 |
| Thomas Rogersnot out | 18* | 7 | 2 | 1 | 257.1 | +6.5 |
| Wesley Agarnot out | 3* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | +0.3 |
| Extras lb 2, w 6 | 8 | |||||
| Total 20 ov, 8.55 an over | 171/7 | |||||
Did not bat NN Gilchrist, Matthew Parkinson
Fall of wickets 46-1 (Bell-Drummond, 4.5), 78-2 (Muyeye, 10.3), 79-3 (Finch, 10.5), 96-4 (Billings, 13.3), 148-5 (Denly, 17.4), 148-6 (Stewart, 18), 150-7 (Leaning, 18.3)
| Bowling | O | M | R | W | Econ | Dots | Wd | Nb | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Worrall | 3 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 11.00 | 6 | 0 | 0 | −3.9 |
| Sam Curran | 4 | 0 | 35 | 1 | 8.75 | 7 | 3 | 0 | −7.8 |
| Nathan Smith | 3 | 0 | 42 | 0 | 14.00 | 2 | 1 | 0 | −17.3 |
| Chris Jordan | 4 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 2.50 | 18 | 1 | 0 | +35.6 |
| William Jacks | 2 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 12.50 | 1 | 1 | 0 | −7.5 |
| Mitchell Santner | 4 | 0 | 24 | 2 | 6.00 | 7 | 0 | 0 | +7.5 |
| Batting | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Jacksb WA Agar | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 120.0 | −8.0 |
| Dom Sibleyc HZ Finch b TS Rogers | 6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 66.7 | −9.1 |
| Jason Royc SW Billings b WA Agar | 56 | 30 | 6 | 3 | 186.7 | +26.0 |
| Sam Curranc TS Rogers b WA Agar | 32 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 123.1 | +14.5 |
| Laurie Evansnot out | 46* | 29 | 4 | 2 | 158.6 | +6.0 |
| Thomas Curranrun out (SW Billings) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | – |
| Mitchell Santnerc TS Rogers b G Stewart | 14 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 93.3 | −4.4 |
| Chris Jordannot out | 8* | 6 | 1 | 0 | 133.3 | +22.3 |
| Extras lb 1, w 4 | 5 | |||||
| Total 20 ov, 8.65 an over | 173/6 | |||||
Did not bat OFM Sykes, Nathan Smith, Daniel Worrall
Fall of wickets 8-1 (Sibley, 1.5), 12-2 (Jacks, 2.3), 102-3 (Curran, 11.3), 104-4 (Roy, 12), 105-5 (Curran, 12.3), 153-6 (Santner, 18)
| Bowling | O | M | R | W | Econ | Dots | Wd | Nb | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Stewart | 4 | 0 | 42 | 1 | 10.50 | 8 | 1 | 0 | −18.2 |
| Thomas Rogers | 4 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 5.00 | 12 | 0 | 0 | +0.7 |
| Wesley Agar | 4 | 0 | 26 | 3 | 6.50 | 13 | 1 | 0 | +20.7 |
| NN Gilchrist | 4 | 0 | 41 | 0 | 10.25 | 5 | 2 | 0 | −35.7 |
| Matthew Parkinson | 2 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 12.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | −18.1 |
| Jack Leaning | 2 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 9.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | −8.9 |
Fielding Samuel Billings +6.0 (run-outs)
Win is the win chance a player added for his side, in points (100 = a match turned round): batting in the top table, bowling in the bottom. Point at or tap a player to see his balls on the chart.
The whole match on one screen: a row for every over, a square for every ball, coloured by how far it moved the match. Pick any ball, play it through, or click a name to follow one player.
The balls that decided it