Sussex won by 27 runs
Before a ball was bowled the model made Sussex 60% favourites, from the two XIs that took the field.
Sussex win
Glamorgan win
Turning point +29 to Sussex. 16.2, the chase: Henry Crocombe to Daniel Douthwaite, wicket, 159/6, needing 41. Sussex went from 42% to 72%.
Moved it most Nathan McAndrew +29.6 · Tymal Mills −27.0 · Colin Ingram +21.8 · T van der Gugten −20.7
| Batting | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Wardc AM Tribe b T van der Gugten | 55 | 24 | 9 | 2 | 229.2 | +9.4 |
| Daniel Hughesc KS Carlson b Imad Wasim | 25 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 113.6 | +3.9 |
| John Simpsonc WT Smale b EO Leonard | 41 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 157.7 | +4.4 |
| James Colesc CA Ingram b MS Crane | 28 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 175.0 | +1.4 |
| Thomas Alsopc (sub) b MS Crane | 14 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 116.7 | +0.4 |
| JJ Carsonnot out | 19* | 11 | 1 | 1 | 172.7 | +1.3 |
| Tom Clarkst CB Cooke b MS Crane | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | −1.1 |
| Nathan McAndrewc BI Kellaway b DA Douthwaite | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | −2.6 |
| Ollie Robinsonnot out | 8* | 6 | 1 | 0 | 133.3 | −0.2 |
| Extras b 1, lb 5, w 2 | 8 | |||||
| Total 20 ov, 9.95 an over | 199/7 | |||||
Did not bat Tymal Mills, Henry Crocombe
Fall of wickets 73-1 (Ward, 6), 102-2 (Hughes, 9.5), 147-3 (Simpson, 13.5), 158-4 (Coles, 15.4), 181-5 (Alsop, 17.4), 181-6 (Clark, 17.5), 182-7 (McAndrew, 18.1)
| Bowling | O | M | R | W | Econ | Dots | Wd | Nb | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T van der Gugten | 4 | 0 | 49 | 1 | 12.25 | 7 | 0 | 0 | −14.5 |
| Imad Wasim | 4 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 6.75 | 7 | 0 | 0 | +2.8 |
| Daniel Douthwaite | 4 | 0 | 44 | 1 | 11.00 | 7 | 2 | 0 | −1.0 |
| BI Kellaway | 2 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 5.50 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| Mason Crane | 4 | 0 | 43 | 3 | 10.75 | 7 | 0 | 0 | −5.9 |
| EO Leonard | 2 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 9.50 | 5 | 0 | 0 | −0.7 |
| Batting | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kiran Carlsonc TGR Clark b HT Crocombe | 17 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 121.4 | −5.5 |
| William Smalec (sub) b N McAndrew | 9 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 150.0 | +1.4 |
| BI Kellawayc OE Robinson b N McAndrew | 28 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 155.6 | −4.9 |
| Colin Ingramc HT Crocombe b N McAndrew | 37 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 176.2 | +21.8 |
| Chris Cookec TGR Clark b JM Coles | 11 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 122.2 | −15.5 |
| Asa Tribec OE Robinson b N McAndrew | 11 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 78.6 | −11.8 |
| Daniel Douthwaitec (sub) b HT Crocombe | 40 | 18 | 1 | 5 | 222.2 | +14.7 |
| Imad Wasimc (sub) b TS Mills | 8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | −12.2 |
| T van der Gugtenc (sub) b N McAndrew | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | −6.3 |
| EO Leonardc OE Robinson b N McAndrew | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | −0.5 |
| Mason Cranenot out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.0 |
| Extras lb 6, w 2 | 8 | |||||
| Total 18.5 ov, 9.13 an over | 172 | |||||
Fall of wickets 18-1 (Smale, 1.5), 55-2 (Carlson, 5.2), 99-3 (Cooke, 10.4), 106-4 (Kellaway, 11.1), 107-5 (Ingram, 11.3), 159-6 (Douthwaite, 16.2), 169-7 (Wasim, 17.5), 170-8 (van der Gugten, 18.1), 171-9 (Tribe, 18.3), 172-10 (Leonard, 18.5)
| Bowling | O | M | R | W | Econ | Dots | Wd | Nb | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ollie Robinson | 3 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 10.67 | 3 | 0 | 0 | −15.2 |
| Nathan McAndrew | 3.5 | 0 | 21 | 6 | 5.48 | 11 | 0 | 0 | +32.1 |
| Tymal Mills | 4 | 0 | 42 | 1 | 10.50 | 7 | 1 | 0 | −27.0 |
| Henry Crocombe | 4 | 0 | 35 | 2 | 8.75 | 9 | 1 | 0 | +20.6 |
| James Coles | 3 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 8.67 | 6 | 0 | 0 | +6.6 |
| JJ Carson | 1 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 10.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | −2.9 |
Win is the win chance a player added for his side, in points (100 = a match turned round): batting in the top table, bowling in the bottom. Point at or tap a player to see his balls on the chart.
The whole match on one screen: a row for every over, a square for every ball, coloured by how far it moved the match. Pick any ball, play it through, or click a name to follow one player.
The balls that decided it
