Middlesex won by 1 run
Before a ball was bowled the model made Middlesex 63% favourites, from the two XIs that took the field.
Middlesex win
Essex win
Turning point +31 to Middlesex. 19.3, the chase: Thomas Helm to Luc Benkenstein, wicket, 154/6, needing 8. Middlesex went from 49% to 80%.
Moved it most Thomas Helm +88.2 · Luc Benkenstein −68.7 · Ryan Higgins −39.6 · NRM Thain −25.4
| Batting | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Eskinazic JM Cox b Mohammad Amir | 18 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 120.0 | −2.4 |
| Kane Williamsonc CWJ Allison b NRM Thain | 53 | 31 | 5 | 3 | 171.0 | +15.9 |
| Max Holdenc PI Walter b SR Harmer | 37 | 30 | 3 | 2 | 123.3 | −2.1 |
| BBA Geddesc CWJ Allison b LM Benkenstein | 12 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 240.0 | +0.9 |
| Ryan Higginsb SR Harmer | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | −5.9 |
| Jack Daviesc NRM Thain b LM Benkenstein | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 111.1 | −1.9 |
| Luke Hollmanb Mohammad Amir | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 66.7 | −4.6 |
| Zafar Goharrun out (JM Cox) | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | −1.4 |
| Thomas Helmc D Elgar b PI Walter | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 150.0 | +2.1 |
| Noah Cornwellb Mohammad Amir | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.0 | −4.4 |
| N Sharmanot out | 0* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | −0.4 |
| Extras b 1, lb 1, w 7 | 9 | |||||
| Total 19.5 ov, 8.12 an over | 161 | |||||
Fall of wickets 47-1 (Eskinazi, 5), 108-2 (Williamson, 11.2), 121-3 (Geddes, 12.4), 129-4 (Holden, 13.4), 134-5 (Higgins, 15.1), 144-6 (Davies, 16.4), 146-7 (Hollman, 17.1), 156-8 (Helm, 18.2), 161-9 (Cornwell, 19.4), 161-10 (Gohar, 19.5)
| Bowling | O | M | R | W | Econ | Dots | Wd | Nb | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shane Snater | 3 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 11.33 | 8 | 5 | 0 | −11.7 |
| Mohammad Amir | 3.5 | 0 | 19 | 3 | 4.96 | 10 | 0 | 0 | +15.5 |
| Simon Harmer | 4 | 0 | 34 | 2 | 8.50 | 8 | 0 | 0 | −6.4 |
| Paul Walter | 3 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 6.67 | 10 | 1 | 0 | −0.5 |
| Luc Benkenstein | 3 | 0 | 26 | 2 | 8.67 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +2.7 |
| Matt Critchley | 2 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 8.50 | 4 | 1 | 0 | −2.8 |
| NRM Thain | 1 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 9.00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +2.2 |
| Batting | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dean Elgarc N Sharma b TG Helm | 20 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 133.3 | −1.7 |
| Michael Pepperc RF Higgins b Zafar Gohar | 25 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 156.3 | +0.6 |
| Jordan Coxb Zafar Gohar | 23 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 121.1 | −4.6 |
| Paul Walterc KS Williamson b N Sharma | 30 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 136.4 | +8.4 |
| Luc Benkensteinc BBA Geddes b TG Helm | 20 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 95.2 | −71.5 |
| Matt Critchleyc RF Higgins b NB Cornwell | 8 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 61.5 | −9.8 |
| CWJ Allisonnot out | 15* | 11 | 1 | 0 | 136.4 | +7.4 |
| NRM Thainnot out | 6* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 200.0 | −27.7 |
| Extras b 1, lb 1, w 11 | 13 | |||||
| Total 20 ov, 8.00 an over | 160/6 | |||||
Did not bat Simon Harmer, Shane Snater, Mohammad Amir
Fall of wickets 52-1 (Pepper, 5), 52-2 (Elgar, 5.1), 106-3 (Walter, 11.4), 110-4 (Cox, 12.3), 128-5 (Critchley, 16.1), 154-6 (Benkenstein, 19.3)
| Bowling | O | M | R | W | Econ | Dots | Wd | Nb | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N Sharma | 3 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 10.00 | 5 | 2 | 0 | −16.6 |
| Noah Cornwell | 3 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 8.67 | 5 | 6 | 0 | −12.2 |
| Thomas Helm | 4 | 0 | 31 | 2 | 7.75 | 8 | 1 | 0 | +86.1 |
| Zafar Gohar | 4 | 0 | 20 | 2 | 5.00 | 9 | 0 | 0 | +12.0 |
| Ryan Higgins | 2 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 10.50 | 3 | 2 | 0 | −33.7 |
| Luke Hollman | 4 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 7.50 | 10 | 0 | 0 | +7.6 |
Win is the win chance a player added for his side, in points (100 = a match turned round): batting in the top table, bowling in the bottom. Point at or tap a player to see his balls on the chart.
The whole match on one screen: a row for every over, a square for every ball, coloured by how far it moved the match. Pick any ball, play it through, or click a name to follow one player.
The balls that decided it
