Lancashire won by 80 runs
Before a ball was bowled the model made Lancashire 63% favourites, from the two XIs that took the field.
Lancashire win
Derbyshire win
Turning point +6 to Lancashire. 3.5, first innings: Zachariah Chappell to Keaton Jennings, 6 runs, 38/0. Lancashire went from 68% to 74%.
Moved it most Luke Wells +16.2 · Samit Patel −12.3 · Keaton Jennings +11.4 · Patrick Brown −10.0
| Batting | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Wellsc AHT Donald b MK Andersson | 83 | 44 | 5 | 8 | 188.6 | +16.4 |
| Keaton Jenningsrun out (BW Aitchison) | 33 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 165.0 | +11.4 |
| Matthew Hurstc SR Patel b BW Aitchison | 59 | 29 | 5 | 4 | 203.4 | +9.5 |
| Liam Livingstonest BD Guest b SR Patel | 33 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 194.1 | +1.4 |
| Ashton Turnernot out | 4* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 200.0 | −0.1 |
| Michael Jonesc AHT Donald b ZJ Chappell | 9 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 180.0 | −0.1 |
| Chris Greenc BD Guest b ZJ Chappell | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 300.0 | −0.3 |
| Jack Blatherwickrun out (RA Whiteley) | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 350.0 | +1.2 |
| Extras b 1, w 6, nb 2 | 9 | |||||
| Total 20 ov, 12.15 an over | 243/7 | |||||
Did not bat Luke Wood, Tom Hartley, Saqib Mahmood
Fall of wickets 102-1 (Jennings, 9.1), 153-2 (Wells, 12.2), 215-3 (Livingstone, 18), 215-4 (Hurst, 18.1), 228-5 (Jones, 19.2), 234-6 (Green, 19.4), 243-7 (Blatherwick, 20)
| Bowling | O | M | R | W | Econ | Dots | Wd | Nb | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AM Ghazanfar | 4 | 0 | 46 | 0 | 11.50 | 7 | 0 | 0 | −8.0 |
| BW Aitchison | 4 | 0 | 44 | 1 | 11.00 | 8 | 0 | 2 | −5.7 |
| Zachariah Chappell | 4 | 0 | 44 | 2 | 11.00 | 9 | 2 | 0 | −4.2 |
| Patrick Brown | 2 | 0 | 35 | 0 | 17.50 | 2 | 1 | 0 | −10.0 |
| Martin Andersson | 3 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 10.00 | 4 | 1 | 0 | −2.8 |
| Samit Patel | 3 | 0 | 43 | 1 | 14.33 | 3 | 2 | 0 | −11.7 |
Fielding BW Aitchison +3.3 (run-outs)
| Batting | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aneurin Donaldc LWP Wells b CJ Green | 19 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 190.0 | +2.7 |
| Caleb Jewellb LS Livingstone | 65 | 43 | 5 | 3 | 151.2 | −3.8 |
| Martin Anderssonc JM Blatherwick b L Wood | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 60.0 | +0.2 |
| Wayne Madsenc KK Jennings b L Wood | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | −1.1 |
| Samit Patelc MF Hurst b S Mahmood | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.7 | −0.6 |
| Brooke Guestc MF Hurst b JM Blatherwick | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.7 | −0.3 |
| Ross Whiteleyc AJ Turner b CJ Green | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | −0.2 |
| Zachariah Chappellc AJ Turner b LS Livingstone | 31 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 206.7 | 0.0 |
| AM Ghazanfarc LWP Wells b JM Blatherwick | 28 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 200.0 | +0.6 |
| BW Aitchisonc JM Blatherwick b CJ Green | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 200.0 | 0.0 |
| Patrick Brownnot out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.0 |
| Extras lb 1, w 3 | 4 | |||||
| Total 17.2 ov, 9.40 an over | 163 | |||||
Fall of wickets 43-1 (Donald, 3.3), 48-2 (Andersson, 4.4), 48-3 (Madsen, 4.5), 51-4 (Patel, 5.5), 56-5 (Guest, 6.5), 57-6 (Whiteley, 7.5), 96-7 (Chappell, 11.3), 128-8 (Ghazanfar, 14.3), 141-9 (Aitchison, 16), 163-10 (Jewell, 17.2)
| Bowling | O | M | R | W | Econ | Dots | Wd | Nb | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Wood | 3 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 8.33 | 6 | 0 | 0 | −0.4 |
| Saqib Mahmood | 3 | 0 | 34 | 1 | 11.33 | 6 | 0 | 0 | −5.6 |
| Chris Green | 4 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 4.00 | 11 | 1 | 0 | +8.5 |
| Jack Blatherwick | 4 | 0 | 40 | 2 | 10.00 | 7 | 0 | 0 | +0.6 |
| Luke Wells | 1 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 17.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −0.2 |
| Liam Livingstone | 1.2 | 0 | 17 | 2 | 12.75 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +0.1 |
| Tom Hartley | 1 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 13.00 | 4 | 1 | 0 | −0.8 |
Win is the win chance a player added for his side, in points (100 = a match turned round): batting in the top table, bowling in the bottom. Point at or tap a player to see his balls on the chart.
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The balls that decided it