Hampshire won by 3 wickets
Before a ball was bowled the model made Middlesex 58% favourites, from the two XIs that took the field. They lost.
Middlesex win
Hampshire win
Turning point −40 to Hampshire. 19.3, the chase: Ryan Higgins to James Fuller, 4 runs, 184/7, needing 4. Middlesex went from 54% to 15%.
Moved it most James Fuller +140.7 · Ryan Higgins −62.6 · Zafar Gohar −60.6 · Leus du Plooy −28.7
| Batting | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Eskinazib SW Currie | 94 | 48 | 12 | 3 | 195.8 | +12.1 |
| Kane Williamsonb BAC Howell | 25 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 113.6 | −4.3 |
| Max Holdenc BAC Howell b SW Currie | 33 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 126.9 | −4.7 |
| BBA Geddesb SW Currie | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | −2.2 |
| Ryan Higginsb S Baker | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | −1.0 |
| Leus du Plooyc JM Vince b EV Jack | 9 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 128.6 | −1.9 |
| Joseph Cracknellc BAC Howell b SW Currie | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | −3.0 |
| Luke Hollmannot out | 13* | 7 | 2 | 0 | 185.7 | +2.1 |
| Zafar Goharc SW Currie b EV Jack | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | −2.6 |
| Thomas Helmnot out | 0* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | −0.3 |
| Extras b 1, lb 5, w 2 | 8 | |||||
| Total 20 ov, 9.35 an over | 187/8 | |||||
Did not bat Noah Cornwell
Fall of wickets 69-1 (Williamson, 6.4), 151-2 (Eskinazi, 15.1), 157-3 (Geddes, 15.5), 163-4 (Higgins, 16.4), 169-5 (Holden, 17.2), 170-6 (Cracknell, 17.4), 185-7 (du Plooy, 19.3), 185-8 (Gohar, 19.4)
| Bowling | O | M | R | W | Econ | Dots | Wd | Nb | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonny Baker | 4 | 0 | 36 | 1 | 9.00 | 9 | 1 | 0 | +2.2 |
| James Fuller | 2 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 9.50 | 2 | 0 | 0 | −0.8 |
| Liam Dawson | 4 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 7.00 | 5 | 0 | 0 | −1.2 |
| EV Jack | 4 | 0 | 43 | 2 | 10.75 | 4 | 0 | 0 | −1.6 |
| Scott Currie | 4 | 0 | 32 | 4 | 8.00 | 11 | 1 | 0 | +5.8 |
| Benny Howell | 2 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 11.50 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +0.6 |
| Batting | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toby Albertc & b LBK Hollman | 19 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 100.0 | −13.0 |
| James Vincec JL du Plooy b RF Higgins | 27 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 158.8 | −6.6 |
| Thomas Prestc JL du Plooy b TG Helm | 9 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 150.0 | −0.4 |
| Joe Weatherleyb LBK Hollman | 41 | 22 | 4 | 2 | 186.4 | +26.7 |
| Hilton Cartwrightc JB Cracknell b NB Cornwell | 20 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 142.9 | −5.1 |
| James Fullernot out | 43* | 26 | 3 | 2 | 165.4 | +141.5 |
| Benny Howellb RF Higgins | 11 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 122.2 | −9.7 |
| Liam Dawsonc RF Higgins b NB Cornwell | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 150.0 | −0.9 |
| EV Jacknot out | 3* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | −1.0 |
| Extras b 4, lb 1, nb 4 | 9 | |||||
| Total 19.4 ov, 9.56 an over | 188/7 | |||||
Did not bat Scott Currie, Sonny Baker
Fall of wickets 43-1 (Vince, 4.2), 54-2 (Prest, 5.4), 68-3 (Albert, 8.2), 108-4 (Weatherley, 11.4), 127-5 (Cartwright, 14), 148-6 (Howell, 16.4), 155-7 (Dawson, 17.3)
| Bowling | O | M | R | W | Econ | Dots | Wd | Nb | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Cornwell | 3.5 | 0 | 37 | 2 | 9.65 | 8 | 0 | 4 | −10.2 |
| Zafar Gohar | 4 | 0 | 47 | 0 | 11.75 | 3 | 0 | 0 | −58.0 |
| Thomas Helm | 4 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 6.75 | 8 | 0 | 0 | −0.3 |
| Ryan Higgins | 3.4 | 0 | 45 | 2 | 12.27 | 6 | 0 | 0 | −61.5 |
| Luke Hollman | 4 | 0 | 21 | 2 | 5.25 | 10 | 0 | 0 | +25.4 |
| Leus du Plooy | 0.1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 36.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −26.8 |
Win is the win chance a player added for his side, in points (100 = a match turned round): batting in the top table, bowling in the bottom. Point at or tap a player to see his balls on the chart.
The whole match on one screen: a row for every over, a square for every ball, coloured by how far it moved the match. Pick any ball, play it through, or click a name to follow one player.
The balls that decided it
