Middlesex won by 23 runs
Before a ball was bowled the model made Middlesex 59% favourites, from the two XIs that took the field.
Middlesex win
Gloucestershire win
Turning point −14 to Gloucestershire. 12.5, the chase: Luke Hollman to Jack Taylor, 6 runs, 115/3, needing 75. Middlesex went from 71% to 57%.
Moved it most Noah Cornwell +20.1 · D'Arcy Short +17.8 · Ryan Higgins +12.9 · Kane Williamson +10.1
| Batting | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Eskinazic JMR Taylor b GL van Buuren | 20 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 166.7 | −5.0 |
| BBA Geddesc CT Bancroft b J Shaw | 25 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 131.6 | +4.3 |
| Kane Williamsonc M de Lange b DJM Short | 52 | 30 | 6 | 2 | 173.3 | +10.1 |
| Leus du Plooyc OJ Price b M de Lange | 54 | 37 | 4 | 2 | 145.9 | +6.6 |
| Ryan Higginsnot out | 28* | 16 | 2 | 2 | 175.0 | +4.0 |
| Joseph Cracknellb M de Lange | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | −2.4 |
| Luke Hollmannot out | 4* | 6 | 0 | 0 | 66.7 | −1.2 |
| Extras lb 3, w 1, nb 2 | 6 | |||||
| Total 20 ov, 9.45 an over | 189/5 | |||||
Did not bat SHB Morgan, Zafar Gohar, Thomas Helm, Noah Cornwell
Fall of wickets 37-1 (Eskinazi, 4), 50-2 (Geddes, 5.5), 142-3 (Williamson, 14), 165-4 (du Plooy, 17.1), 165-5 (Cracknell, 17.2)
| Bowling | O | M | R | W | Econ | Dots | Wd | Nb | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Payne | 4 | 0 | 35 | 0 | 8.75 | 9 | 0 | 0 | −8.1 |
| Joshua Shaw | 3 | 0 | 33 | 1 | 11.00 | 5 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
| Graeme van Buuren | 3 | 0 | 34 | 1 | 11.33 | 4 | 0 | 0 | −6.7 |
| AS Dale | 2 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 11.00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | −5.4 |
| Marchant de Lange | 4 | 0 | 30 | 2 | 7.50 | 8 | 1 | 2 | −1.7 |
| OJ Price | 2 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 9.50 | 3 | 0 | 0 | −2.7 |
| D'Arcy Short | 2 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 6.50 | 5 | 0 | 0 | +6.8 |
| Batting | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Hammondc JL du Plooy b SHB Morgan | 8 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 100.0 | −3.4 |
| D'Arcy Shortc JB Cracknell b NB Cornwell | 64 | 46 | 8 | 2 | 139.1 | +11.0 |
| Cameron Bancroftc KS Williamson b LBK Hollman | 20 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 133.3 | −3.2 |
| OJ Pricec TG Helm b LBK Hollman | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | −7.2 |
| Jack Taylorc KS Williamson b SHB Morgan | 41 | 32 | 5 | 1 | 128.1 | +1.8 |
| Ben Charlesworthlbw b RF Higgins | 11 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 137.5 | −1.1 |
| Graeme van Buurenc JL du Plooy b TG Helm | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.7 | −0.6 |
| David Paynenot out | 7* | 5 | 1 | 0 | 140.0 | +0.4 |
| Joshua Shawnot out | 5* | 2 | 1 | 0 | 250.0 | +0.1 |
| Extras lb 3, w 5 | 8 | |||||
| Total 20 ov, 8.30 an over | 166/7 | |||||
Did not bat Marchant de Lange, AS Dale
Fall of wickets 11-1 (Hammond, 1.5), 65-2 (Bancroft, 7.3), 65-3 (Price, 7.4), 140-4 (Short, 16.4), 142-5 (Taylor, 17.1), 149-6 (van Buuren, 18.1), 161-7 (Charlesworth, 19.3)
| Bowling | O | M | R | W | Econ | Dots | Wd | Nb | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Cornwell | 4 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 5.00 | 16 | 0 | 0 | +20.1 |
| SHB Morgan | 4 | 0 | 34 | 2 | 8.50 | 9 | 3 | 0 | −9.1 |
| Thomas Helm | 4 | 0 | 35 | 1 | 8.75 | 5 | 0 | 0 | −4.1 |
| Ryan Higgins | 4 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 7.75 | 7 | 1 | 0 | +8.9 |
| Zafar Gohar | 1 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 13.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | −9.7 |
| Luke Hollman | 3 | 0 | 30 | 2 | 10.00 | 7 | 0 | 0 | −8.0 |
Win is the win chance a player added for his side, in points (100 = a match turned round): batting in the top table, bowling in the bottom. Point at or tap a player to see his balls on the chart.
The whole match on one screen: a row for every over, a square for every ball, coloured by how far it moved the match. Pick any ball, play it through, or click a name to follow one player.
The balls that decided it
