Surrey won by 6 wickets
Before a ball was bowled the model made Surrey 64% favourites, from the two XIs that took the field.
Glamorgan win
Surrey win
Turning point −22 to Surrey. 12.3 nb, the chase: Jamie McIlroy to Daniel Lawrence, 4 runs, 131/4, needing 92. Glamorgan went from 57% to 36%.
Moved it most Daniel Lawrence +67.3 · Jamie McIlroy −35.0 · Colin Ingram +21.9 · AW Gorvin −20.6
| Batting | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kiran Carlsonlbw b A Zampa | 18 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 112.5 | −16.2 |
| William Smalerun out (JJ Roy) | 37 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 217.6 | +20.5 |
| AJ Hortonc JJ Roy b CJ Jordan | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.0 | −5.5 |
| BI Kellawayc J Overton b SM Curran | 22 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 129.4 | −0.8 |
| Colin Ingramc NG Smith b SM Curran | 69 | 33 | 5 | 5 | 209.1 | +21.9 |
| Asa Tribenot out | 56* | 30 | 5 | 3 | 186.7 | +8.6 |
| Daniel Douthwaiteb A Zampa | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | −2.4 |
| Imad Wasimnot out | 2* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | +1.1 |
| Extras b 4, lb 2, w 8, nb 2 | 16 | |||||
| Total 20 ov, 11.10 an over | 222/6 | |||||
Did not bat EO Leonard, AW Gorvin, Jamie McIlroy
Fall of wickets 46-1 (Smale, 3.3), 55-2 (Horton, 4.3), 78-3 (Carlson, 7.5), 108-4 (Kellaway, 10.1), 213-5 (Ingram, 18.4), 214-6 (Douthwaite, 19.1)
| Bowling | O | M | R | W | Econ | Dots | Wd | Nb | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Smith | 4 | 0 | 49 | 0 | 12.25 | 4 | 1 | 0 | −11.8 |
| Jamie Overton | 1 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 15.00 | 3 | 3 | 0 | −8.0 |
| Thomas Curran | 3 | 0 | 45 | 0 | 15.00 | 5 | 1 | 2 | −21.8 |
| William Jacks | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | −2.7 |
| Chris Jordan | 3 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 10.00 | 7 | 0 | 0 | −1.5 |
| Sam Curran | 4 | 0 | 31 | 2 | 7.75 | 9 | 2 | 0 | +9.4 |
| Adam Zampa | 4 | 0 | 38 | 2 | 9.50 | 6 | 1 | 0 | −5.7 |
Fielding Jason Roy +5.0 (run-outs)
| Batting | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Jacksrun out (KS Carlson) | 31 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 147.6 | +4.3 |
| RS Patelb Imad Wasim | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | −7.3 |
| Jason Royc DA Douthwaite b EO Leonard | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 83.3 | −10.9 |
| Sam Curranc AJ Horton b EO Leonard | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 62.5 | −4.8 |
| Daniel Lawrencenot out | 120* | 54 | 12 | 5 | 222.2 | +67.3 |
| Thomas Currannot out | 49* | 27 | 2 | 3 | 181.5 | +18.2 |
| Extras b 1, w 7, nb 6 | 14 | |||||
| Total 19.1 ov, 11.69 an over | 224/4 | |||||
Did not bat Laurie Evans, Jamie Overton, Chris Jordan, Nathan Smith, Adam Zampa
Fall of wickets 1-1 (Patel, 0.3), 6-2 (Roy, 1.4), 16-3 (Curran, 3.4), 78-4 (Jacks, 9.1)
| Bowling | O | M | R | W | Econ | Dots | Wd | Nb | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Imad Wasim | 4 | 0 | 40 | 1 | 10.00 | 6 | 1 | 0 | −3.8 |
| EO Leonard | 4 | 0 | 38 | 2 | 9.50 | 7 | 0 | 2 | −3.4 |
| Jamie McIlroy | 4 | 0 | 53 | 0 | 13.25 | 3 | 4 | 2 | −35.0 |
| Daniel Douthwaite | 4 | 0 | 47 | 0 | 11.75 | 2 | 0 | 2 | −15.7 |
| AW Gorvin | 3.1 | 0 | 45 | 0 | 14.21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | −20.6 |
Fielding Kiran Carlson +4.9 (run-outs)
Win is the win chance a player added for his side, in points (100 = a match turned round): batting in the top table, bowling in the bottom. Point at or tap a player to see his balls on the chart.
The whole match on one screen: a row for every over, a square for every ball, coloured by how far it moved the match. Pick any ball, play it through, or click a name to follow one player.
The balls that decided it
