Northamptonshire won by 64 runs
Before a ball was bowled the model made Northamptonshire 54% favourites, from the two XIs that took the field.
Northamptonshire win
Birmingham Bears win
Turning point +4 to Northamptonshire. 2.6, first innings: Hasan Ali to Ricardo Vasconcelos, 4 runs, 43/0. Northamptonshire went from 72% to 76%.
Moved it most Matthew Breetzke +16.7 · Alexander Davies +13.6 · Hasan Ali −11.8 · Richard Gleeson −10.2
| Batting | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricardo Vasconcelosc SR Hain b DR Briggs | 56 | 27 | 8 | 3 | 207.4 | +9.1 |
| Matthew Breetzkec EG Barnard b RJ Gleeson | 85 | 40 | 7 | 6 | 212.5 | +16.7 |
| David Willeyc JG Bethell b CN Miles | 54 | 30 | 1 | 5 | 180.0 | +4.3 |
| Ravinder Boparac JG Bethell b DR Mousley | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | −1.3 |
| Saif Zaibc RJ Gleeson b CN Miles | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | −1.0 |
| Lewis McManusnot out | 13* | 7 | 2 | 0 | 185.7 | +1.9 |
| GA Bartlettlbw b RJ Gleeson | 12 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 300.0 | +0.4 |
| LA Procternot out | 7* | 6 | 1 | 0 | 116.7 | +1.8 |
| Extras w 5, nb 2 | 7 | |||||
| Total 20 ov, 12.00 an over | 240/6 | |||||
Did not bat Ben Sanderson, Lloyd Pope, George Scrimshaw
Fall of wickets 94-1 (Vasconcelos, 7.4), 189-2 (Breetzke, 15), 196-3 (Bopara, 15.4), 205-4 (Willey, 17.1), 206-5 (Zaib, 17.3), 219-6 (Bartlett, 18.2)
| Bowling | O | M | R | W | Econ | Dots | Wd | Nb | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Garton | 2 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 12.00 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +0.9 |
| Richard Gleeson | 4 | 0 | 43 | 2 | 10.75 | 10 | 0 | 2 | −10.2 |
| Hasan Ali | 4 | 0 | 47 | 0 | 11.75 | 4 | 1 | 0 | −11.7 |
| Daniel Mousley | 4 | 0 | 40 | 1 | 10.00 | 7 | 1 | 0 | +0.6 |
| Craig Miles | 2 | 0 | 34 | 2 | 17.00 | 3 | 2 | 0 | −7.0 |
| Danny Briggs | 3 | 0 | 34 | 1 | 11.33 | 3 | 0 | 0 | −0.1 |
| Jacob Bethell | 1 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 18.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −5.1 |
| Batting | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Daviesc LD McManus b DJ Willey | 26 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 185.7 | +13.6 |
| Tom Lathamlbw b L Pope | 25 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 166.7 | −1.8 |
| Daniel Mousleyc LD McManus b DJ Willey | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | −0.4 |
| Samuel Hainc GA Bartlett b LA Procter | 50 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 172.4 | −3.9 |
| Jacob Bethellb RS Bopara | 13 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 130.0 | −2.2 |
| Edward Barnardc RS Bopara b LA Procter | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | −0.9 |
| George Gartonc LD McManus b GLS Scrimshaw | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 85.7 | −1.2 |
| Hasan Alic MP Breetzke b GLS Scrimshaw | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 28.6 | −0.2 |
| Danny Briggsnot out | 32* | 19 | 4 | 1 | 168.4 | +0.3 |
| Craig Milesc LD McManus b GLS Scrimshaw | 8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.0 |
| Richard Gleesonrun out (DJ Willey) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.0 |
| Extras lb 1, w 3 | 4 | |||||
| Total 20 ov, 8.80 an over | 176 | |||||
Fall of wickets 26-1 (Davies, 2.2), 32-2 (Mousley, 3), 87-3 (Latham, 8), 110-4 (Bethell, 10.3), 119-5 (Barnard, 12), 129-6 (Hain, 13.4), 130-7 (Garton, 14.1), 155-8 (Ali, 16.4), 169-9 (Miles, 18.5), 176-10 (Gleeson, 20)
| Bowling | O | M | R | W | Econ | Dots | Wd | Nb | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Willey | 3 | 0 | 27 | 2 | 9.00 | 7 | 1 | 0 | −4.6 |
| Ben Sanderson | 4 | 0 | 37 | 0 | 9.25 | 7 | 0 | 0 | −9.1 |
| LA Procter | 4 | 0 | 39 | 2 | 9.75 | 9 | 2 | 0 | +6.6 |
| George Scrimshaw | 4 | 0 | 33 | 3 | 8.25 | 8 | 0 | 0 | −1.4 |
| Lloyd Pope | 2 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 9.00 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +2.5 |
| Ravinder Bopara | 3 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 7.00 | 5 | 0 | 0 | +2.6 |
Win is the win chance a player added for his side, in points (100 = a match turned round): batting in the top table, bowling in the bottom. Point at or tap a player to see his balls on the chart.
The whole match on one screen: a row for every over, a square for every ball, coloured by how far it moved the match. Pick any ball, play it through, or click a name to follow one player.
The balls that decided it
