Lancashire won by 21 runs
Before a ball was bowled the model made Lancashire 57% favourites, from the two XIs that took the field.
Lancashire win
Yorkshire win
Turning point +24 to Lancashire. 17.6, the chase: Chris Green to Matthew Milnes, wicket, 151/8, needing 24. Lancashire went from 61% to 85%.
Moved it most Chris Green +41.7 · James Anderson +33.6 · Luke Wood −12.8 · TH Aspinwall −12.3
| Batting | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phil Saltc W Luxton b JA Chohan | 42 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 144.8 | −7.2 |
| Keaton Jenningsc Abdullah Shafique b D Moriarty | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 116.7 | −0.6 |
| Jos Buttlerrun out (W Sutherland) | 77 | 46 | 8 | 3 | 167.4 | +11.5 |
| Ashton Turnerb JA Chohan | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | −5.4 |
| Luke Wellsc Abdullah Shafique b JA Thompson | 9 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 112.5 | +1.3 |
| Matthew Hurstc DM Bess b ME Milnes | 11 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 91.7 | −8.1 |
| Chris Greenc JA Thompson b W Sutherland | 16 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 145.5 | 0.0 |
| Jack Blatherwickc W Sutherland b ME Milnes | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 200.0 | +1.4 |
| Luke Woodrun out (DM Bess) | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | −0.5 |
| TH Aspinwallnot out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0.0 |
| James Andersonb JA Thompson | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | −2.6 |
| Extras w 4 | 4 | |||||
| Total 19.5 ov, 8.77 an over | 174 | |||||
Fall of wickets 23-1 (Jennings, 3), 65-2 (Salt, 7.1), 67-3 (Turner, 7.3), 110-4 (Wells, 11.1), 132-5 (Hurst, 15), 161-6 (Green, 18), 172-7 (Blatherwick, 18.5), 173-8 (Wood, 19.2), 174-9 (Buttler, 19.4), 174-10 (Anderson, 19.5)
| Bowling | O | M | R | W | Econ | Dots | Wd | Nb | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Milnes | 4 | 0 | 27 | 2 | 6.75 | 12 | 0 | 0 | +9.7 |
| Dominic Bess | 2 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 10.50 | 3 | 1 | 0 | −7.6 |
| Daniel Moriarty | 3 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 9.33 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +2.9 |
| Will Sutherland | 3 | 0 | 35 | 1 | 11.67 | 5 | 2 | 0 | −15.2 |
| Jordan Thompson | 3.5 | 0 | 30 | 2 | 7.83 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +1.2 |
| Jafer Chohan | 4 | 0 | 33 | 2 | 8.25 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +11.9 |
Fielding Dominic Bess +2.9, Will Sutherland +2.0 (run-outs)
| Batting | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonny Bairstowb L Wood | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 125.0 | −2.8 |
| Dawid Malanc KK Jennings b JM Anderson | 19 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 146.2 | −5.4 |
| W Luxtonc CJ Green b JM Anderson | 9 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 150.0 | −3.1 |
| Abdullah Shafiquec AJ Turner b JM Anderson | 54 | 34 | 7 | 1 | 158.8 | +0.3 |
| James Whartonb CJ Green | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 110.0 | −7.2 |
| Dominic Bessc JC Buttler b L Wood | 13 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 162.5 | −2.5 |
| Will Sutherlandc JM Blatherwick b TH Aspinwall | 28 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 127.3 | +9.3 |
| Jordan Thompsonc & b CJ Green | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.7 | −11.6 |
| Matthew Milneslbw b CJ Green | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 111.1 | −5.6 |
| Jafer Chohanc MF Hurst b JM Blatherwick | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.0 | −1.1 |
| Daniel Moriartynot out | 1* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | −0.1 |
| Extras | 0 | |||||
| Total 19.1 ov, 7.98 an over | 153 | |||||
Fall of wickets 13-1 (Bairstow, 1.2), 24-2 (Luxton, 2.5), 44-3 (Malan, 5.1), 66-4 (Wharton, 7.5), 97-5 (Bess, 10.4), 132-6 (Shafique, 14.4), 137-7 (Thompson, 15.4), 151-8 (Milnes, 18), 151-9 (Sutherland, 18.1), 153-10 (Chohan, 19.1)
| Bowling | O | M | R | W | Econ | Dots | Wd | Nb | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Anderson | 4 | 0 | 25 | 3 | 6.25 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +36.2 |
| Luke Wood | 4 | 0 | 33 | 2 | 8.25 | 8 | 0 | 0 | −12.2 |
| TH Aspinwall | 4 | 0 | 36 | 1 | 9.00 | 5 | 0 | 0 | −12.3 |
| Chris Green | 4 | 0 | 27 | 3 | 6.75 | 9 | 0 | 0 | +41.6 |
| Jack Blatherwick | 2.1 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 8.77 | 3 | 0 | 0 | −13.6 |
| Luke Wells | 1 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 13.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | −9.8 |
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The balls that decided it