New Zealand won by 7 wickets
Before a ball was bowled the model made South Africa 53% favourites, from the two XIs that took the field. They lost.
South Africa win
New Zealand win
Turning point −11 to New Zealand. 2.3, first innings: Adam Milne to Rassie van der Dussen, wicket, 14/1. South Africa went from 49% to 39%.
Moved it most Adam Milne +18.1 · Reeza Hendricks −15.0 · Rassie van der Dussen −13.4 · Zakary Foulkes +9.6
| Batting | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rassie van der Dussenb AF Milne | 14 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 107.7 | −13.4 |
| Reeza Hendricksc MG Bracewell b JA Duffy | 41 | 37 | 4 | 1 | 110.8 | −15.0 |
| Rubin Hermanrun out (MS Chapman) | 10 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 83.3 | −1.2 |
| Dewald Brevisc TL Seifert b W O'Rourke | 13 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 100.0 | −2.4 |
| Lhuan-dre Pretoriusc JA Duffy b MJ Santner | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16.7 | −6.6 |
| A Simelanelbw b MJ Santner | 11 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 78.6 | −2.7 |
| George Lindenot out | 23* | 15 | 1 | 1 | 153.3 | +4.0 |
| Gerald Coetzeec TL Seifert b JA Duffy | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | −2.5 |
| Senuran Muthusamyc R Ravindra b AF Milne | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 200.0 | +2.0 |
| N Peternot out | 7* | 5 | 1 | 0 | 140.0 | +0.9 |
| Extras lb 2, w 4 | 6 | |||||
| Total 20 ov, 6.70 an over | 134/8 | |||||
Did not bat Kwena Maphaka
Fall of wickets 14-1 (van der Dussen, 2.3), 34-2 (Herman, 7), 52-3 (Brevis, 9.3), 57-4 (Pretorius, 10.4), 79-5 (Simelane, 14.1), 109-6 (Hendricks, 16.5), 109-7 (Coetzee, 17), 121-8 (Muthusamy, 18.2)
| Bowling | O | M | R | W | Econ | Dots | Wd | Nb | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Duffy | 4 | 0 | 33 | 2 | 8.25 | 11 | 1 | 0 | +1.1 |
| Zakary Foulkes | 3 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 4.00 | 11 | 0 | 0 | +9.6 |
| Adam Milne | 4 | 0 | 21 | 2 | 5.25 | 14 | 0 | 0 | +18.1 |
| Mitchell Santner | 4 | 1 | 26 | 2 | 6.50 | 12 | 0 | 0 | +6.2 |
| Will O'Rourke | 4 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 6.50 | 14 | 3 | 0 | +1.3 |
| Rachin Ravindra | 1 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 14.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −6.3 |
Fielding Mark Chapman +4.5 (run-outs)
| Batting | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devon Conwayc LG Pretorius b A Simelane | 19 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 105.6 | +0.4 |
| Tim Seifertnot out | 66* | 48 | 6 | 2 | 137.5 | +6.5 |
| Rachin Ravindrac RR Hendricks b S Muthusamy | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 60.0 | −1.4 |
| Mark Chapmanc RA Herman b S Muthusamy | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 111.1 | 0.0 |
| Daryl Mitchellnot out | 20* | 15 | 2 | 0 | 133.3 | +0.7 |
| Extras w 17 | 17 | |||||
| Total 15.5 ov, 8.53 an over | 135/3 | |||||
Did not bat Adam Milne, Michael Bracewell, Mitchell Santner, Jacob Duffy, Zakary Foulkes, Will O'Rourke
Fall of wickets 51-1 (Conway, 5.2), 59-2 (Ravindra, 7), 84-3 (Chapman, 10.1)
| Bowling | O | M | R | W | Econ | Dots | Wd | Nb | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Linde | 3 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 10.00 | 5 | 6 | 0 | −2.5 |
| Gerald Coetzee | 3 | 0 | 37 | 0 | 12.33 | 5 | 7 | 0 | −6.4 |
| Kwena Maphaka | 2.5 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 6.71 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +0.1 |
| A Simelane | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 5.00 | 3 | 1 | 0 | −0.3 |
| Senuran Muthusamy | 4 | 0 | 24 | 2 | 6.00 | 9 | 0 | 0 | +1.7 |
| N Peter | 2 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 10.00 | 3 | 2 | 0 | −2.2 |
Win is the win chance a player added for his side, in points (100 = a match turned round): batting in the top table, bowling in the bottom. Point at or tap a player to see his balls on the chart.
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The balls that decided it