Australia tour of New Zealand, Match 1

New Zealand v Australia

New Zealand 181/6 20 ov
Australia 185/4 16.3 ov

Australia won by 6 wickets

Venue
Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui
Date
Wed, 1 October 2025
Toss
Australia won the toss and chose to field
Player of the match
Mitchell Marsh

The match

Before a ball was bowled the model made Australia 55% favourites, from the two XIs that took the field.

New Zealand win

Australia win

New Zealand batAustralia chase 182

Turning point −19 to Australia. 0.2, the chase: Matt Henry to Mitchell Marsh, 4 runs, 4/0, needing 178. New Zealand went from 58% to 39%.

Moved it most Mitchell Marsh +37.8 · Timothy Robinson +22.6 · Kyle Jamieson −16.1 · Jacob Duffy −15.6

BattingRB4s6sSRWin
Tim Seifertc MR Marsh b JR Hazlewood4310133.3+0.4
Devon Conwayb BJ Dwarshuis120050.0−8.2
Timothy Robinsonnot out106*6665160.6+22.6
Mark Chapmanc AT Carey b BJ Dwarshuis01000.0−8.4
Daryl Mitchellc TH David b MW Short342331147.8+8.4
Bevon Jacobsrun out (TM Head/AT Carey/MP Stoinis)20211095.2−3.5
Michael Bracewellrun out (MW Short/BJ Dwarshuis)7400175.0−1.1
Zakary Foulkesnot out0*000–0.0
Extras b 1, lb 1, w 79
Total 20 ov, 9.05 an over181/6

Did not bat Kyle Jamieson, Matt Henry, Jacob Duffy

Fall of wickets 4-1 (Seifert, 0.3), 6-2 (Conway, 1.3), 6-3 (Chapman, 1.4), 98-4 (Mitchell, 10.5), 162-5 (Jacobs, 18.4), 171-6 (Bracewell, 19.4)

BowlingOMRWEconDotsWdNbWin
Josh Hazlewood402315.751300+8.7
Benjamin Dwarshuis4040210.00600−4.5
Marcus Stoinis2027013.50120−14.4
Xavier Bartlett3030010.00210−8.6
Adam Zampa402706.75610+1.5
Matthew Short3032110.67130−5.0

Fielding Marcus Stoinis +0.7, Benjamin Dwarshuis +1.1, Travis Head +0.7, Matthew Short +1.1, Alex Carey +0.7 (run-outs)

Win is the win chance a player added for his side, in points (100 = a match turned round): batting in the top table, bowling in the bottom. Point at or tap a player to see his balls on the chart.

Ball by ball

The whole match on one screen: a row for every over, a square for every ball, coloured by how far it moved the match. Pick any ball, play it through, or click a name to follow one player.

The balls that decided it