Australia tour of New Zealand, Match 3

New Zealand v Australia

New Zealand 156/9 20 ov
Australia 160/7 18 ov

Australia won by 3 wickets

Venue
Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui
Date
Sat, 4 October 2025
Toss
Australia won the toss and chose to field
Player of the match
Mitchell Marsh

The match

Before a ball was bowled the model made Australia 53% favourites, from the two XIs that took the field.

New Zealand win

Australia win

New Zealand batAustralia chase 157

Turning point +14 to New Zealand. 12.6, the chase: Benjamin Sears to Mitchell Owen, wicket, 111/6, needing 46. New Zealand went from 8% to 22%.

Moved it most Mitchell Marsh +74.7 · Benjamin Sears −39.5 · Travis Head −17.4 · Marcus Stoinis −16.5

BattingRB4s6sSRWin
Tim Seifertc TM Head b XC Bartlett483553137.1+15.9
Devon Conwayc MR Marsh b JR Hazlewood02000.0−9.8
Timothy Robinsonc AT Carey b JR Hazlewood131011130.0−2.4
Mark Chapmanc TH David b SA Abbott451080.0−4.7
Daryl Mitchellc AT Carey b MP Stoinis9101090.0−9.2
Michael Bracewellc MW Short b A Zampa262221118.2−7.6
Jimmy Neeshamc SA Abbott b XC Bartlett251822138.9−0.4
Matt Henryc MP Stoinis b SA Abbott680075.0−7.1
Benjamin Searsb SA Abbott02000.0−2.9
Ish Sodhinot out9*701128.6+2.3
Jacob Duffynot out1*100100.0+0.2
Extras b 4, lb 3, w 815
Total 20 ov, 7.80 an over156/9

Fall of wickets 7-1 (Conway, 1), 41-2 (Robinson, 4.3), 46-3 (Chapman, 5.4), 77-4 (Mitchell, 9.1), 99-5 (Seifert, 12.2), 138-6 (Neesham, 16.3), 144-7 (Bracewell, 17.5), 146-8 (Henry, 18.3), 147-9 (Sears, 19)

BowlingOMRWEconDotsWdNbWin
Josh Hazlewood402626.501700−1.3
Xavier Bartlett402526.251400+20.8
Sean Abbott402536.251120+8.6
Adam Zampa403017.50700−2.1
Marcus Stoinis4143110.751260−11.6

Win is the win chance a player added for his side, in points (100 = a match turned round): batting in the top table, bowling in the bottom. Point at or tap a player to see his balls on the chart.

Ball by ball

The whole match on one screen: a row for every over, a square for every ball, coloured by how far it moved the match. Pick any ball, play it through, or click a name to follow one player.

The balls that decided it