South Africa won by 55 runs
Before a ball was bowled the model made Pakistan 61% favourites, from the two XIs that took the field. They lost.
South Africa win
Pakistan win
Turning point −12 to Pakistan. 3.5, first innings: Saim Ayub to Quinton de Kock, wicket, 44/1. South Africa went from 62% to 50%.
Moved it most Reeza Hendricks +28.1 · Lungi Ngidi +16.9 · Shaheen Afridi −16.8 · Corbin Bosch +16.6
| Batting | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reeza Hendricksb Abrar Ahmed | 60 | 40 | 5 | 1 | 150.0 | +28.1 |
| Quinton de Kockc Faheem Ashraf b Saim Ayub | 23 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 176.9 | −10.4 |
| Tony de Zorzist Usman Khan b Mohammad Nawaz | 33 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 206.3 | +16.5 |
| Dewald Brevisb Mohammad Nawaz | 9 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 180.0 | −1.9 |
| Matthew Breetzkec Mohammad Nawaz b Saim Ayub | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.0 | −2.2 |
| Donovan Ferreirab Mohammad Nawaz | 10 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 83.3 | −13.2 |
| George Lindeb Naseem Shah | 36 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 163.6 | −3.1 |
| Corbin Boschc Faheem Ashraf b Shaheen Shah Afridi | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 140.0 | −3.9 |
| Lizaad Williamsrun out (Usman Khan/Shaheen Shah Afridi) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 150.0 | +0.2 |
| Nandre Burgernot out | 0* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | −2.6 |
| Extras lb 1, w 10, nb 1 | 12 | |||||
| Total 20 ov, 9.70 an over | 194/9 | |||||
Did not bat Lungi Ngidi
Fall of wickets 44-1 (de Kock, 3.5), 93-2 (de Zorzi, 7.4), 109-3 (Brevis, 9.3), 112-4 (Breetzke, 10.3), 139-5 (Ferreira, 14), 178-6 (Hendricks, 17.3), 186-7 (Linde, 18.5), 194-8 (Bosch, 19.4), 194-9 (Williams, 20)
| Bowling | O | M | R | W | Econ | Dots | Wd | Nb | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shaheen Afridi | 4 | 0 | 45 | 1 | 11.25 | 8 | 2 | 0 | −15.4 |
| Naseem Shah | 3 | 0 | 34 | 1 | 11.33 | 5 | 1 | 0 | −7.7 |
| Saim Ayub | 4 | 0 | 31 | 2 | 7.75 | 6 | 2 | 0 | +3.4 |
| Abrar Ahmed | 4 | 0 | 42 | 1 | 10.50 | 7 | 3 | 0 | −8.8 |
| Agha Salman | 1 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 15.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | −4.3 |
| Mohammad Nawaz | 4 | 0 | 26 | 3 | 6.50 | 9 | 2 | 1 | +13.6 |
Fielding Shaheen Afridi +0.7, Usman Khan +0.7 (run-outs)
| Batting | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sahibzada Farhanb LB Williams | 24 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 126.3 | −2.2 |
| Saim Ayubc D Ferreira b GF Linde | 37 | 28 | 1 | 4 | 132.1 | −18.5 |
| Babar Azamc RR Hendricks b C Bosch | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | −9.3 |
| Agha Salmanlbw b C Bosch | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 28.6 | −9.2 |
| Usman Khanst Q de Kock b GF Linde | 12 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | −12.2 |
| Hassan Nawazb L Ngidi | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 75.0 | −8.1 |
| Mohammad Nawazc C Bosch b LB Williams | 36 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 180.0 | +0.8 |
| Faheem Ashrafc LB Williams b GF Linde | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.3 | −3.1 |
| Shaheen Afridic & b C Bosch | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 80.0 | −2.1 |
| Naseem Shahc Q de Kock b C Bosch | 9 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 100.0 | −0.5 |
| Abrar Ahmednot out | 0* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Extras lb 3, w 7, nb 1 | 11 | |||||
| Total 18.1 ov, 7.65 an over | 139 | |||||
Fall of wickets 31-1 (Farhan, 4.5), 33-2 (Azam, 5.3), 43-3 (Salman, 7.2), 82-4 (Ayub, 10.5), 85-5 (Nawaz, 11.3), 87-6 (Khan, 12.1), 89-7 (Ashraf, 12.5), 109-8 (Shah Afridi, 14.4), 124-9 (Shah, 17), 139-10 (Nawaz, 18.1)
| Bowling | O | M | R | W | Econ | Dots | Wd | Nb | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nandre Burger | 4 | 0 | 35 | 0 | 8.75 | 9 | 3 | 1 | +4.1 |
| Lungi Ngidi | 4 | 0 | 35 | 1 | 8.75 | 11 | 0 | 0 | +16.9 |
| Lizaad Williams | 3.1 | 0 | 21 | 2 | 6.63 | 11 | 2 | 0 | +12.0 |
| Corbin Bosch | 4 | 0 | 14 | 4 | 3.50 | 17 | 1 | 0 | +20.5 |
| George Linde | 3 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 10.33 | 7 | 1 | 0 | +5.6 |
Win is the win chance a player added for his side, in points (100 = a match turned round): batting in the top table, bowling in the bottom. Point at or tap a player to see his balls on the chart.
The whole match on one screen: a row for every over, a square for every ball, coloured by how far it moved the match. Pick any ball, play it through, or click a name to follow one player.
The balls that decided it
