England won by 51 runs
Before a ball was bowled the model made England 68% favourites, from the two XIs that took the field.
England win
Sri Lanka win
Turning point +17 to England. 8.4, the chase: Liam Dawson to Kamindu Mendis, wicket, 52/6, needing 95. England went from 66% to 83%.
Moved it most MADI Hemantha −33.6 · Dunith Wellalage +26.3 · Pathum Nissanka −20.5 · Dasun Shanaka +20.4
| Batting | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phil Saltc MADI Hemantha b DN Wellalage | 62 | 40 | 6 | 2 | 155.0 | +13.1 |
| Jos Buttlerlbw b DN Wellalage | 7 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | −12.0 |
| Jacob Bethellc D Madushanka b M Theekshana | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 75.0 | −3.3 |
| Tom Bantonrun out (MD Shanaka) | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 85.7 | −8.2 |
| Harry Brooklbw b DN Wellalage | 14 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 200.0 | +0.9 |
| Sam Curranc K Mishara b PVD Chameera | 11 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 100.0 | −5.0 |
| William Jacksc DN Wellalage b D Madushanka | 21 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 150.0 | +1.1 |
| Liam Dawsonc MD Shanaka b M Theekshana | 6 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 54.5 | −9.7 |
| Jamie Overtonnot out | 10* | 10 | 0 | 1 | 100.0 | +1.0 |
| Jofra Archerc MADI Hemantha b D Madushanka | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | −1.8 |
| Adil Rashidnot out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | +0.4 |
| Extras lb 2, w 3 | 5 | |||||
| Total 20 ov, 7.30 an over | 146/9 | |||||
Fall of wickets 16-1 (Buttler, 3.1), 32-2 (Bethell, 5.1), 49-3 (Banton, 7.5), 68-4 (Brook, 10), 94-5 (Curran, 13.2), 106-6 (Salt, 14.2), 124-7 (Dawson, 17.1), 135-8 (Jacks, 18.5), 135-9 (Archer, 19)
| Bowling | O | M | R | W | Econ | Dots | Wd | Nb | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dilshan Madushanka | 4 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 6.25 | 12 | 0 | 0 | +1.5 |
| Dunith Wellalage | 4 | 0 | 26 | 3 | 6.50 | 11 | 0 | 0 | +25.4 |
| Maheesh Theekshana | 4 | 0 | 21 | 2 | 5.25 | 9 | 2 | 0 | +15.7 |
| MADI Hemantha | 4 | 0 | 38 | 0 | 9.50 | 4 | 0 | 0 | −23.9 |
| Dushmantha Chameera | 4 | 0 | 34 | 1 | 8.50 | 9 | 1 | 0 | −7.3 |
Fielding Dasun Shanaka +8.5 (run-outs)
| Batting | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pathum Nissankac J Overton b JC Archer | 9 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 112.5 | −20.5 |
| K Misharac J Overton b JC Archer | 6 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 54.5 | −10.4 |
| Kusal Mendisc & b WG Jacks | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | −12.4 |
| P Rathnayakec T Banton b WG Jacks | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | −9.8 |
| Dunith Wellalagec HC Brook b WG Jacks | 10 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 100.0 | +0.9 |
| Kamindu Mendisc & b LA Dawson | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 118.2 | −4.9 |
| Dasun Shanakac T Banton b AU Rashid | 30 | 24 | 1 | 2 | 125.0 | +11.9 |
| MADI Hemanthahit wicket b J Overton | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 62.5 | −9.7 |
| Dushmantha Chameerab LA Dawson | 6 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 46.2 | −2.6 |
| Maheesh Theekshananot out | 10* | 8 | 1 | 0 | 125.0 | +0.8 |
| Dilshan Madushankab AU Rashid | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | −0.2 |
| Extras w 2 | 2 | |||||
| Total 16.4 ov, 5.70 an over | 95 | |||||
Fall of wickets 15-1 (Nissanka, 2.4), 20-2 (Mendis, 3.3), 20-3 (Rathnayake, 3.4), 22-4 (Mishara, 4.5), 34-5 (Wellalage, 5.5), 52-6 (Mendis, 8.4), 69-7 (Hemantha, 12), 82-8 (Shanaka, 14.2), 94-9 (Chameera, 16), 95-10 (Madushanka, 16.4)
| Bowling | O | M | R | W | Econ | Dots | Wd | Nb | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jofra Archer | 3 | 0 | 20 | 2 | 6.67 | 11 | 1 | 0 | +20.0 |
| William Jacks | 4 | 0 | 22 | 3 | 5.50 | 16 | 0 | 0 | +12.8 |
| Liam Dawson | 4 | 0 | 27 | 2 | 6.75 | 9 | 0 | 0 | +5.4 |
| Adil Rashid | 3.4 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 3.55 | 13 | 1 | 0 | +7.9 |
| Jamie Overton | 2 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 6.50 | 5 | 0 | 0 | +6.1 |
Win is the win chance a player added for his side, in points (100 = a match turned round): batting in the top table, bowling in the bottom. Point at or tap a player to see his balls on the chart.
The whole match on one screen: a row for every over, a square for every ball, coloured by how far it moved the match. Pick any ball, play it through, or click a name to follow one player.
The balls that decided it
