Pakistan won by 5 runs
Before a ball was bowled the model made Pakistan 60% favourites, from the two XIs that took the field.
Pakistan win
Sri Lanka win
Turning point +21 to Pakistan. 19.5, the chase: Shaheen Afridi to Dasun Shanaka, dot ball, 207/6, needing 6. Pakistan went from 72% to 93%.
Moved it most Fakhar Zaman +15.8 · Dasun Shanaka −10.7 · Shaheen Afridi +8.4 · P Rathnayake +6.4
| Batting | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sahibzada Farhanc J Liyanage b D Madushanka | 100 | 60 | 9 | 5 | 166.7 | +6.1 |
| Fakhar Zamanb PVD Chameera | 84 | 42 | 9 | 4 | 200.0 | +15.8 |
| Khawaja Nafayc KIC Asalanka b D Madushanka | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.7 | −1.1 |
| Shadab Khanrun out (K Mishara/D Madushanka) | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 140.0 | −0.2 |
| Mohammad Nawazc M Theekshana b MD Shanaka | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | −1.3 |
| Agha Salmanc M Theekshana b MD Shanaka | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | −1.7 |
| Usman Khannot out | 8* | 4 | 1 | 0 | 200.0 | +0.9 |
| Shaheen Afridilbw b D Madushanka | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 200.0 | +0.4 |
| Naseem Shahrun out (PHKD Mendis/D Madushanka) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | +0.3 |
| Abrar Ahmednot out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0.0 |
| Extras lb 3, w 3 | 6 | |||||
| Total 20 ov, 10.60 an over | 212/8 | |||||
Did not bat Usman Tariq
Fall of wickets 176-1 (Zaman, 15.5), 179-2 (Nafay, 16.3), 198-3 (Khan, 18), 199-4 (Nawaz, 18.2), 199-5 (Salman, 18.4), 203-6 (Farhan, 19.1), 207-7 (Shah Afridi, 19.3), 210-8 (Shah, 19.5)
| Bowling | O | M | R | W | Econ | Dots | Wd | Nb | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dilshan Madushanka | 4 | 0 | 33 | 3 | 8.25 | 11 | 0 | 0 | −3.4 |
| Dushmantha Chameera | 4 | 0 | 48 | 1 | 12.00 | 4 | 1 | 0 | −3.0 |
| Maheesh Theekshana | 4 | 0 | 35 | 0 | 8.75 | 8 | 0 | 0 | −1.8 |
| Dasun Shanaka | 4 | 0 | 42 | 2 | 10.50 | 8 | 0 | 0 | −6.2 |
| Dunith Wellalage | 3 | 0 | 37 | 0 | 12.33 | 4 | 2 | 0 | −5.2 |
| J Liyanage | 1 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 14.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1.8 |
| Batting | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pathum Nissankac Mohammad Nawaz b Naseem Shah | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 42.9 | −4.4 |
| K Misharab Abrar Ahmed | 26 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 173.3 | +0.2 |
| Charith Asalankab Abrar Ahmed | 25 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 138.9 | −0.4 |
| P Rathnayakec Saim Ayub (sub) b Shaheen Shah Afridi | 58 | 37 | 4 | 3 | 156.8 | +6.4 |
| Kamindu Mendisb Abrar Ahmed | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | −3.9 |
| J Liyanageb Mohammad Nawaz | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 166.7 | −0.6 |
| Dasun Shanakanot out | 76* | 31 | 2 | 8 | 245.2 | −4.5 |
| Dunith Wellalagenot out | 2* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.7 | +0.4 |
| Extras lb 3, w 6 | 9 | |||||
| Total 20 ov, 10.35 an over | 207/6 | |||||
Did not bat Maheesh Theekshana, Dushmantha Chameera, Dilshan Madushanka
Fall of wickets 8-1 (Nissanka, 1.3), 33-2 (Mishara, 4.1), 75-3 (Asalanka, 8.5), 94-4 (Mendis, 11), 101-5 (Liyanage, 12), 162-6 (Rathnayake, 17.3)
| Bowling | O | M | R | W | Econ | Dots | Wd | Nb | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shaheen Afridi | 4 | 0 | 48 | 1 | 12.00 | 11 | 0 | 0 | +8.0 |
| Naseem Shah | 4 | 0 | 36 | 1 | 9.00 | 8 | 2 | 0 | +0.6 |
| Abrar Ahmed | 4 | 0 | 23 | 3 | 5.75 | 11 | 1 | 0 | +6.0 |
| Usman Tariq | 4 | 0 | 43 | 0 | 10.75 | 3 | 1 | 0 | −6.2 |
| Mohammad Nawaz | 2 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 10.50 | 2 | 0 | 0 | −0.6 |
| Shadab Khan | 2 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 16.50 | 2 | 2 | 0 | −3.5 |
Win is the win chance a player added for his side, in points (100 = a match turned round): batting in the top table, bowling in the bottom. Point at or tap a player to see his balls on the chart.
The whole match on one screen: a row for every over, a square for every ball, coloured by how far it moved the match. Pick any ball, play it through, or click a name to follow one player.
The balls that decided it