Surrey won by 6 wickets
Before a ball was bowled the model made Surrey 52% favourites, from the two XIs that took the field.
Middlesex win
Surrey win
Turning point −26 to Surrey. 15.3 nb, the chase: Ryan Higgins to Laurie Evans, 7 runs, 103/4, needing 41. Middlesex went from 46% to 20%.
Moved it most Sam Curran +50.4 · Laurie Evans +35.9 · Eathan Bosch −33.7 · Ryan Higgins −20.9
| Batting | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Holdenb J Clark | 23 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 121.1 | −4.8 |
| Adam Rossingtonc ARG Thomas b RJW Topley | 6 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 46.2 | −18.4 |
| JM De Caireslbw b Y Majid | 16 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 106.7 | −1.8 |
| Leus du Plooyc TK Curran b RJW Topley | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | −7.7 |
| CM Falconerc ARG Thomas b Y Majid | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 44.4 | −5.0 |
| Ryan Higginshit wicket b TK Curran | 13 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 81.3 | −6.7 |
| Luke Hollmannot out | 35* | 28 | 4 | 0 | 125.0 | +2.2 |
| Eathan Boschrun out (JJ Roy) | 31 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 172.2 | +6.5 |
| Thomas Helmrun out (TK Curran) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | −0.2 |
| Extras lb 1, w 12, nb 1 | 14 | |||||
| Total 20 ov, 7.15 an over | 143/8 | |||||
Did not bat Zafar Gohar, Noah Cornwell
Fall of wickets 37-1 (Holden, 5), 37-2 (Rossington, 5.1), 37-3 (du Plooy, 5.3), 50-4 (Falconer, 8.1), 65-5 (De Caires, 10.4), 89-6 (Higgins, 14.3), 142-7 (Bosch, 19.5), 143-8 (Helm, 20)
| Bowling | O | M | R | W | Econ | Dots | Wd | Nb | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reece Topley | 4 | 0 | 39 | 2 | 9.75 | 9 | 6 | 1 | −3.2 |
| Thomas Curran | 4 | 0 | 32 | 1 | 8.00 | 10 | 3 | 0 | +0.7 |
| Jordan Clark | 3 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 5.33 | 11 | 2 | 0 | +15.0 |
| Y Majid | 4 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 6.25 | 7 | 0 | 0 | +5.2 |
| Sean Abbott | 4 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 6.00 | 8 | 1 | 0 | −2.0 |
| Daniel Lawrence | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1.4 |
Fielding Jason Roy +1.3 (run-outs)
| Batting | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Royb NB Cornwell | 2 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 15.4 | −17.2 |
| ARG Thomasc AM Rossington b TG Helm | 12 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 70.6 | −17.2 |
| Ollie Popec E Bosch b LBK Hollman | 9 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | −4.3 |
| Sam Currannot out | 71* | 47 | 6 | 4 | 151.1 | +50.4 |
| Daniel Lawrencec RF Higgins b TG Helm | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 140.0 | −2.2 |
| Laurie Evansnot out | 34* | 21 | 3 | 2 | 161.9 | +35.9 |
| Extras lb 2, w 6, nb 1 | 9 | |||||
| Total 18.3 ov, 7.78 an over | 144/4 | |||||
Did not bat Thomas Curran, Jordan Clark, Sean Abbott, Y Majid, Reece Topley
Fall of wickets 16-1 (Thomas, 4.1), 18-2 (Roy, 5.1), 42-3 (Pope, 8.4), 56-4 (Lawrence, 10.3)
| Bowling | O | M | R | W | Econ | Dots | Wd | Nb | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zafar Gohar | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2.00 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +3.1 |
| Noah Cornwell | 4 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 5.50 | 14 | 1 | 0 | −3.5 |
| Eathan Bosch | 4 | 0 | 52 | 0 | 13.00 | 7 | 2 | 0 | −40.2 |
| Thomas Helm | 3.3 | 0 | 24 | 2 | 6.86 | 9 | 1 | 0 | +10.5 |
| Luke Hollman | 4 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 6.50 | 10 | 0 | 0 | −10.5 |
| Ryan Higgins | 2 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 8.00 | 8 | 2 | 1 | −14.3 |
Win is the win chance a player added for his side, in points (100 = a match turned round): batting in the top table, bowling in the bottom. Point at or tap a player to see his balls on the chart.
The whole match on one screen: a row for every over, a square for every ball, coloured by how far it moved the match. Pick any ball, play it through, or click a name to follow one player.
The balls that decided it
