Derbyshire won by 23 runs
Before a ball was bowled the model made Nottinghamshire 55% favourites, from the two XIs that took the field. They lost.
Derbyshire win
Nottinghamshire win
Turning point +8 to Derbyshire. 2.3, first innings: Dillon Pennington to Aneurin Donald, 6 runs, 29/0. Derbyshire went from 50% to 58%.
Moved it most Aneurin Donald +31.8 · Oliver Stone −13.7 · George Linde −8.3 · Dillon Pennington −6.9
| Batting | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aneurin Donaldc JA Haynes b GF Linde | 84 | 31 | 7 | 8 | 271.0 | +31.8 |
| Martin Anderssonnot out | 69* | 43 | 5 | 5 | 160.5 | +2.7 |
| Caleb Jewellc JA Haynes b BAC Howell | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 44.4 | −6.1 |
| Wayne Madsenc Mohammad Ali b GF Linde | 24 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 150.0 | −1.2 |
| Ross Whiteleyc TJ Moores b Mohammad Ali | 33 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 206.3 | +3.6 |
| Matthew Montgomerynot out | 12* | 5 | 1 | 1 | 240.0 | +3.2 |
| Extras lb 5, w 3 | 8 | |||||
| Total 20 ov, 11.70 an over | 234/4 | |||||
Did not bat AS Basra, N Potts, BW Aitchison, Akif Javed, JP Morley
Fall of wickets 112-1 (Donald, 7.4), 135-2 (Jewell, 10.4), 172-3 (Madsen, 15.1), 207-4 (Whiteley, 18.1)
| Bowling | O | M | R | W | Econ | Dots | Wd | Nb | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Pennington | 4 | 0 | 40 | 0 | 10.00 | 8 | 0 | 0 | −6.9 |
| George Linde | 4 | 0 | 52 | 2 | 13.00 | 8 | 1 | 0 | −9.9 |
| Mohammad Ali | 4 | 0 | 35 | 1 | 8.75 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +1.4 |
| Oliver Stone | 2 | 0 | 44 | 0 | 22.00 | 2 | 2 | 0 | −13.7 |
| Benny Howell | 4 | 0 | 41 | 1 | 10.25 | 11 | 0 | 0 | −5.3 |
| FW McCann | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6.00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +0.5 |
| JA Pocklington | 1 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 11.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | −1.4 |
| Batting | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Munseyc AHT Donald b Akif Javed | 18 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 120.0 | −1.3 |
| Joe Clarkec AHT Donald b BW Aitchison | 9 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 75.0 | −6.5 |
| Jack Haynesc WL Madsen b MK Andersson | 45 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 173.1 | −1.7 |
| FW McCannc AS Basra b N Potts | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.0 | −0.9 |
| Thomas Mooresnot out | 75* | 34 | 3 | 7 | 220.6 | +1.4 |
| George Lindec AS Basra b N Potts | 29 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 161.1 | +1.6 |
| Benny Howellc CP Jewell b BW Aitchison | 19 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 190.0 | +0.2 |
| JA Pocklingtonnot out | 6* | 1 | 0 | 1 | 600.0 | 0.0 |
| Extras lb 4, w 5 | 9 | |||||
| Total 20 ov, 10.55 an over | 211/6 | |||||
Did not bat Oliver Stone, Dillon Pennington, Mohammad Ali
Fall of wickets 24-1 (Clarke, 3.4), 39-2 (Munsey, 5.3), 42-3 (McCann, 6.3), 93-4 (Haynes, 11.2), 161-5 (Linde, 16.4), 205-6 (Howell, 19.5)
| Bowling | O | M | R | W | Econ | Dots | Wd | Nb | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JP Morley | 2 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 6.50 | 5 | 0 | 0 | +5.5 |
| BW Aitchison | 4 | 0 | 44 | 2 | 11.00 | 7 | 0 | 0 | −0.5 |
| Akif Javed | 4 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 7.25 | 11 | 0 | 0 | +5.0 |
| N Potts | 4 | 0 | 47 | 2 | 11.75 | 7 | 3 | 0 | −0.4 |
| Martin Andersson | 4 | 0 | 40 | 1 | 10.00 | 5 | 2 | 0 | −1.6 |
| Matthew Montgomery | 2 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 17.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2.0 |
Win is the win chance a player added for his side, in points (100 = a match turned round): batting in the top table, bowling in the bottom. Point at or tap a player to see his balls on the chart.
The whole match on one screen: a row for every over, a square for every ball, coloured by how far it moved the match. Pick any ball, play it through, or click a name to follow one player.
The balls that decided it