Essex won by 60 runs
Before a ball was bowled the model made Essex 50% favourites, from the two XIs that took the field.
Essex win
Middlesex win
Turning point −12 to Middlesex. 1.6, first innings: Noah Cornwell to Paul Walter, wicket, 14/1. Essex went from 51% to 39%.
Moved it most Shane Snater +25.4 · Adam Rossington −19.4 · Thomas Helm +14.1 · Max Holden −13.1
| Batting | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Walterc E Bosch b NB Cornwell | 7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | −11.3 |
| Michael Pepperc JM De Caires b E Bosch | 14 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 127.3 | −6.4 |
| CWJ Allisonb SHB Morgan | 61 | 37 | 5 | 4 | 164.9 | +10.4 |
| Luc Benkensteinc & b TG Helm | 67 | 56 | 8 | 2 | 119.6 | −5.0 |
| Wiaan Muldernot out | 10* | 7 | 2 | 0 | 142.9 | +3.0 |
| Matt Critchleyc & b SHB Morgan | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | −3.9 |
| Extras b 4, w 12, nb 1 | 17 | |||||
| Total 20 ov, 8.80 an over | 176/5 | |||||
Did not bat NRM Thain, Simon Harmer, Shane Snater, Zaman Akhter, CE Bennett
Fall of wickets 14-1 (Walter, 2), 26-2 (Pepper, 3), 159-3 (Benkenstein, 18.1), 176-4 (Allison, 19.3), 176-5 (Critchley, 20)
| Bowling | O | M | R | W | Econ | Dots | Wd | Nb | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Helm | 4 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 5.75 | 15 | 0 | 0 | +14.0 |
| Noah Cornwell | 4 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 7.00 | 14 | 6 | 0 | +9.2 |
| Eathan Bosch | 3 | 0 | 43 | 1 | 14.33 | 6 | 5 | 0 | −10.2 |
| SHB Morgan | 4 | 0 | 34 | 2 | 8.50 | 10 | 1 | 1 | −1.7 |
| Luke Hollman | 4 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 7.75 | 7 | 0 | 0 | −4.6 |
| Ryan Higgins | 1 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 13.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | −3.9 |
| Batting | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Holdenb PWA Mulder | 20 | 22 | 1 | 1 | 90.9 | −13.1 |
| Adam Rossingtonb S Snater | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | −19.4 |
| JM De Cairesc S Snater b Zaman Akhter | 12 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 100.0 | −4.0 |
| BBA Geddesc MS Pepper b Zaman Akhter | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | −8.8 |
| Leus du Plooyc Zaman Akhter b NRM Thain | 14 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 82.4 | −2.7 |
| Ryan Higginsc PWA Mulder b S Snater | 36 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 128.6 | −0.7 |
| Luke Hollmanc Zaman Akhter b NRM Thain | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 80.0 | 0.0 |
| Eathan Boschc PWA Mulder b NRM Thain | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | −0.3 |
| SHB Morganb CE Bennett | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 120.0 | −0.2 |
| Thomas Helmnot out | 2* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.7 | +0.1 |
| Noah Cornwellb CE Bennett | 11 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 157.1 | 0.0 |
| Extras b 4, lb 4, w 3 | 11 | |||||
| Total 17.5 ov, 6.50 an over | 116 | |||||
Fall of wickets 1-1 (Rossington, 0.5), 32-2 (De Caires, 5.1), 32-3 (Geddes, 5.4), 51-4 (Holden, 8.4), 68-5 (du Plooy, 12.1), 72-6 (Hollman, 13), 87-7 (Bosch, 14.1), 94-8 (Morgan, 15.1), 104-9 (Higgins, 16.4), 116-10 (Cornwell, 17.5)
| Bowling | O | M | R | W | Econ | Dots | Wd | Nb | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shane Snater | 4 | 0 | 28 | 2 | 7.00 | 11 | 0 | 0 | +25.4 |
| CE Bennett | 3.5 | 0 | 22 | 2 | 5.74 | 16 | 1 | 0 | +4.6 |
| Zaman Akhter | 3 | 0 | 23 | 2 | 7.67 | 11 | 2 | 0 | +11.1 |
| Wiaan Mulder | 3 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 3.67 | 7 | 0 | 0 | +5.6 |
| Simon Harmer | 2 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 6.50 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +0.5 |
| NRM Thain | 2 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 5.50 | 7 | 0 | 0 | +1.4 |
Win is the win chance a player added for his side, in points (100 = a match turned round): batting in the top table, bowling in the bottom. Point at or tap a player to see his balls on the chart.
The whole match on one screen: a row for every over, a square for every ball, coloured by how far it moved the match. Pick any ball, play it through, or click a name to follow one player.
The balls that decided it