Surrey won by 7 runs
Before a ball was bowled the model made Essex 55% favourites, from the two XIs that took the field. They lost.
Surrey win
Essex win
Turning point +15 to Surrey. 2.1, the chase: Reece Topley to Michael Pepper, wicket, 26/1, needing 215. Surrey went from 73% to 88%.
Moved it most Paul Walter +36.0 · Daniel Lawrence +23.8 · Jordan Clark −23.4 · Jason Roy +19.3
| Batting | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Royc MS Pepper b MJJ Critchley | 65 | 38 | 6 | 3 | 171.1 | +19.3 |
| Laurie Evansc MS Pepper b MJJ Critchley | 40 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 173.9 | +3.7 |
| Joshua Philippenot out | 61* | 30 | 5 | 4 | 203.3 | +9.7 |
| Ollie Popeb S Snater | 59 | 26 | 10 | 1 | 226.9 | +8.4 |
| Thomas Curranc SR Harmer b Zaman Akhter | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | −1.0 |
| Daniel Lawrencenot out | 12* | 3 | 1 | 1 | 400.0 | +3.5 |
| Extras w 2, nb 1 | 3 | |||||
| Total 20 ov, 12.00 an over | 240/4 | |||||
Did not bat ARG Thomas, Jordan Clark, Chris Jordan, TE Lawes, Reece Topley
Fall of wickets 98-1 (Evans, 9), 116-2 (Roy, 10.5), 221-3 (Pope, 19), 228-4 (Curran, 19.3)
| Bowling | O | M | R | W | Econ | Dots | Wd | Nb | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shane Snater | 4 | 0 | 44 | 1 | 11.00 | 6 | 0 | 0 | −11.7 |
| CE Bennett | 3 | 0 | 47 | 0 | 15.67 | 1 | 0 | 0 | −12.7 |
| Zaman Akhter | 4 | 0 | 63 | 1 | 15.75 | 5 | 1 | 1 | −15.7 |
| Matt Critchley | 4 | 0 | 36 | 2 | 9.00 | 9 | 1 | 0 | +3.2 |
| Simon Harmer | 4 | 0 | 36 | 0 | 9.00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | −2.5 |
| Luc Benkenstein | 1 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 14.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −5.4 |
| Batting | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Walterc JR Philippe b RJW Topley | 78 | 30 | 12 | 4 | 260.0 | +36.0 |
| Michael Pepperb RJW Topley | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.3 | −18.0 |
| CWJ Allisonc TK Curran b DW Lawrence | 21 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 150.0 | −8.1 |
| Luc Benkensteinc JR Philippe b DW Lawrence | 12 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 150.0 | −2.7 |
| Matt Critchleyc ARG Thomas b RJW Topley | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 75.0 | −2.0 |
| NRM Thainc RJW Topley b TE Lawes | 36 | 25 | 2 | 2 | 144.0 | −2.3 |
| Simon Harmerc RJW Topley b TE Lawes | 15 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 150.0 | −5.0 |
| SML Fernandesb DW Lawrence | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.7 | −1.6 |
| Shane Snaternot out | 33* | 14 | 2 | 3 | 235.7 | +1.9 |
| Zaman Akhternot out | 26* | 10 | 2 | 2 | 260.0 | +0.3 |
| Extras lb 1, w 4, nb 1 | 6 | |||||
| Total 20 ov, 11.65 an over | 233/8 | |||||
Did not bat CE Bennett
Fall of wickets 26-1 (Pepper, 2.1), 103-2 (Allison, 7.3), 105-3 (Walter, 8.1), 117-4 (Benkenstein, 9.2), 121-5 (Critchley, 10.1), 159-6 (Harmer, 14.3), 162-7 (Fernandes, 15.1), 174-8 (Thain, 16.3)
| Bowling | O | M | R | W | Econ | Dots | Wd | Nb | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reece Topley | 4 | 0 | 28 | 3 | 7.00 | 11 | 2 | 0 | +18.5 |
| Jordan Clark | 2 | 0 | 36 | 0 | 18.00 | 3 | 1 | 0 | −23.4 |
| Thomas Curran | 3 | 0 | 51 | 0 | 17.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | −15.4 |
| Chris Jordan | 3 | 0 | 39 | 0 | 13.00 | 4 | 0 | 0 | −8.8 |
| TE Lawes | 4 | 0 | 50 | 2 | 12.50 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +4.4 |
| Daniel Lawrence | 4 | 0 | 28 | 3 | 7.00 | 7 | 0 | 0 | +20.2 |
Win is the win chance a player added for his side, in points (100 = a match turned round): batting in the top table, bowling in the bottom. Point at or tap a player to see his balls on the chart.
The whole match on one screen: a row for every over, a square for every ball, coloured by how far it moved the match. Pick any ball, play it through, or click a name to follow one player.
The balls that decided it
