Sussex won by 18 runs
Before a ball was bowled the model made Middlesex 52% favourites, from the two XIs that took the field. They lost.
Sussex win
Middlesex win
Turning point +29 to Sussex. 7.5, the chase: Jack Leaning to MWT Boyle, wicket, 93/2, needing 121. Sussex went from 45% to 74%.
Moved it most Jack Leaning +39.9 · Max Holden +37.6 · Tymal Mills +32.0 · SF Hunt −25.7
| Batting | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Wardlbw b N Sharma | 29 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 181.3 | +4.0 |
| Daniel Hughesnot out | 108* | 52 | 11 | 6 | 207.7 | +19.7 |
| GW Thomasc TG Helm b NB Cornwell | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | −6.5 |
| Jack Leaningc JB Cracknell b N Sharma | 65 | 48 | 9 | 0 | 135.4 | +14.2 |
| Extras b 1, lb 2, w 6 | 9 | |||||
| Total 20 ov, 10.65 an over | 213/3 | |||||
Did not bat Thomas Alsop, C Tear, TJ Price, JJ Carson, Danny Briggs, Tymal Mills, SF Hunt
Fall of wickets 32-1 (Ward, 3.4), 44-2 (Thomas, 4.5), 213-3 (Leaning, 20)
| Bowling | O | M | R | W | Econ | Dots | Wd | Nb | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Cornwell | 4 | 0 | 55 | 1 | 13.75 | 8 | 3 | 0 | −13.9 |
| N Sharma | 4 | 0 | 34 | 2 | 8.50 | 10 | 0 | 0 | +6.3 |
| Thomas Helm | 4 | 0 | 48 | 0 | 12.00 | 6 | 1 | 0 | −15.3 |
| Zafar Gohar | 4 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 6.25 | 7 | 2 | 0 | +1.4 |
| Luke Hollman | 4 | 0 | 48 | 0 | 12.00 | 4 | 0 | 0 | −16.1 |
| Batting | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JM De Cairesb JJ Carson | 9 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 150.0 | −1.2 |
| MWT Boylec TP Alsop b JA Leaning | 34 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 141.7 | −11.6 |
| Max Holdenlbw b TJ Price | 52 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 260.0 | +37.6 |
| Leus du Plooyc TJ Price b TS Mills | 37 | 28 | 2 | 2 | 132.1 | −8.1 |
| BBA Geddesc JA Leaning b TS Mills | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 114.3 | −15.7 |
| Joseph Cracknellc JA Leaning b DR Briggs | 8 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 72.7 | −13.9 |
| Luke Hollmanc & b TS Mills | 22 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 137.5 | −6.0 |
| Zafar Goharc TP Alsop b DR Briggs | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 75.0 | −0.6 |
| Thomas Helmb DR Briggs | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | −0.1 |
| Noah Cornwellnot out | 7* | 2 | 0 | 1 | 350.0 | 0.0 |
| N Sharmanot out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.0 |
| Extras b 4, lb 1, w 9 | 14 | |||||
| Total 20 ov, 9.75 an over | 195/9 | |||||
Fall of wickets 18-1 (De Caires, 1.5), 93-2 (Boyle, 7.5), 101-3 (Holden, 8.4), 119-4 (Geddes, 10.4), 138-5 (Cracknell, 14), 168-6 (du Plooy, 17), 184-7 (Hollman, 19), 186-8 (Gohar, 19.2), 188-9 (Helm, 19.4)
| Bowling | O | M | R | W | Econ | Dots | Wd | Nb | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SF Hunt | 3 | 0 | 38 | 0 | 12.67 | 2 | 1 | 0 | −25.7 |
| JJ Carson | 4 | 0 | 36 | 1 | 9.00 | 8 | 0 | 0 | −21.3 |
| Jack Leaning | 2 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 9.50 | 6 | 0 | 0 | +25.7 |
| Tymal Mills | 4 | 0 | 34 | 3 | 8.50 | 10 | 7 | 0 | +32.0 |
| TJ Price | 3 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 9.33 | 2 | 0 | 0 | −8.6 |
| Danny Briggs | 4 | 0 | 35 | 3 | 8.75 | 8 | 1 | 0 | +11.0 |
Win is the win chance a player added for his side, in points (100 = a match turned round): batting in the top table, bowling in the bottom. Point at or tap a player to see his balls on the chart.
The whole match on one screen: a row for every over, a square for every ball, coloured by how far it moved the match. Pick any ball, play it through, or click a name to follow one player.
The balls that decided it
