Yorkshire won by 18 runs
Before a ball was bowled the model made Yorkshire 57% favourites, from the two XIs that took the field.
Yorkshire win
Nottinghamshire win
Turning point +18 to Yorkshire. 11.4, the chase: Joe Root to George Linde, wicket, 105/5, needing 89. Yorkshire went from 73% to 91%.
Moved it most Moeen Ali −33.5 · Andrew Tye +33.4 · Henry Munsey −31.5 · Logan van Beek +23.2
| Batting | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Lythlbw b BAC Howell | 52 | 27 | 3 | 5 | 192.6 | +14.5 |
| W Luxtonc TJ Moores b LA Patterson-White | 38 | 23 | 5 | 1 | 165.2 | +2.5 |
| Joe Rootc DY Pennington b BAC Howell | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | −5.8 |
| Jonny Bairstowb B Fernando | 32 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 118.5 | −3.4 |
| Moeen Alic OP Stone b LA Patterson-White | 20 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 142.9 | −1.4 |
| Matthew Revislbw b LA Patterson-White | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.3 | −3.1 |
| Dominic Bessc TJ Moores b OP Stone | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | −0.2 |
| Logan van Beekrun out (BAC Howell/TJ Moores) | 28 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 175.0 | +8.7 |
| Andrew Tyeb GF Linde | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | −4.3 |
| Hasan Alic B Fernando b GF Linde | 13 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 325.0 | +5.2 |
| Jafer Chohannot out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0.0 |
| Extras lb 1, w 3, nb 2 | 6 | |||||
| Total 19.5 ov, 9.73 an over | 193 | |||||
Fall of wickets 89-1 (Lyth, 7.4), 93-2 (Luxton, 8.2), 95-3 (Root, 9.2), 142-4 (Ali, 14.2), 144-5 (Revis, 15), 145-6 (Bess, 15.2), 158-7 (Bairstow, 17.4), 159-8 (Tye, 18), 173-9 (Ali, 18.5), 193-10 (van Beek, 19.5)
| Bowling | O | M | R | W | Econ | Dots | Wd | Nb | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Pennington | 2 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 13.00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | −9.7 |
| Oliver Stone | 3 | 0 | 40 | 1 | 13.33 | 3 | 1 | 0 | −18.2 |
| Binura Fernando | 2.5 | 0 | 42 | 1 | 14.82 | 2 | 2 | 2 | −8.7 |
| George Linde | 4 | 0 | 36 | 2 | 9.00 | 10 | 0 | 0 | −2.8 |
| Benny Howell | 4 | 0 | 35 | 2 | 8.75 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +3.4 |
| Liam Patterson-White | 4 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 3.25 | 14 | 0 | 0 | +21.7 |
| Batting | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Clarkec JE Root b Hasan Ali | 23 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 176.9 | +19.4 |
| Henry Munseyc AJ Tye b LV van Beek | 9 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 81.8 | −31.5 |
| Jack Haynesc DM Bess b JE Root | 37 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 148.0 | +2.5 |
| FW McCannc & b DM Bess | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.3 | −5.4 |
| Thomas Mooresc DM Bess b AJ Tye | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.0 | −5.1 |
| George Lindec DM Bess b JE Root | 25 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 178.6 | −3.5 |
| Benny Howellc DM Bess b AJ Tye | 30 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 150.0 | +2.8 |
| Liam Patterson-Whiteb JA Chohan | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | −3.3 |
| Dillon Penningtonc ML Revis b AJ Tye | 37 | 20 | 2 | 3 | 185.0 | −2.5 |
| Oliver Stoneb Hasan Ali | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | −4.5 |
| Binura Fernandonot out | 1* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | −1.0 |
| Extras lb 7, w 2 | 9 | |||||
| Total 19.3 ov, 8.97 an over | 175 | |||||
Fall of wickets 32-1 (Munsey, 3.3), 44-2 (Clarke, 4.5), 46-3 (McCann, 5.2), 56-4 (Moores, 6.5), 105-5 (Linde, 11.4), 106-6 (Haynes, 12), 107-7 (Patterson-White, 12.3), 164-8 (Pennington, 17.5), 165-9 (Stone, 18.1), 175-10 (Howell, 19.3)
| Bowling | O | M | R | W | Econ | Dots | Wd | Nb | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hasan Ali | 4 | 0 | 30 | 2 | 7.50 | 9 | 0 | 0 | +11.1 |
| Moeen Ali | 1 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 17.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | −32.1 |
| Andrew Tye | 3.3 | 0 | 18 | 3 | 5.14 | 9 | 0 | 0 | +37.7 |
| Logan van Beek | 2 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 9.00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +14.6 |
| Dominic Bess | 2 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 8.00 | 5 | 2 | 0 | −1.2 |
| Joe Root | 3 | 0 | 35 | 2 | 11.67 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +5.9 |
| Jafer Chohan | 4 | 0 | 34 | 1 | 8.50 | 7 | 0 | 0 | −6.2 |
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The balls that decided it