Ireland won by 3 wickets
Before a ball was bowled the model made Ireland 57% favourites, from the two XIs that took the field.
Italy win
Ireland win
Turning point +11 to Italy. 0.3, first innings: MJ Humphreys to AJ Mosca, 4 runs, 5/0. Italy went from 41% to 53%.
Moved it most MJ Humphreys +21.4 · Mark Adair −18.9 · Joshua Little −18.4 · Harry Tector +17.0
| Batting | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J Moscac GH Dockrell b BJ McCarthy | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.0 | −11.6 |
| AJ Moscalbw b MJ Humphreys | 35 | 22 | 4 | 2 | 159.1 | +13.5 |
| Jon-Jon Smutsb BJ McCarthy | 18 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 150.0 | +3.6 |
| Wayne Madsenc HT Tector b GJ Delany | 10 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 83.3 | −6.7 |
| HJ Manentic GH Dockrell b GJ Delany | 20 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 105.3 | +0.5 |
| Grant Stewartb MJ Humphreys | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | −11.2 |
| GP Meadec GR Adair b MR Adair | 15 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 125.0 | +4.0 |
| M Campopianoc L Tucker b MJ Humphreys | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 66.7 | −3.5 |
| Jaspreet Singhb MJ Humphreys | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | −2.8 |
| CJPF Kalugamagec BJ McCarthy b MR Adair | 7 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 63.6 | −3.7 |
| TJ Dracanot out | 4* | 6 | 0 | 0 | 66.7 | +0.3 |
| Extras lb 1, w 2, nb 1 | 4 | |||||
| Total 18.1 ov, 6.50 an over | 118 | |||||
Fall of wickets 19-1 (Mosca, 2.2), 55-2 (Smuts, 5.4), 59-3 (Mosca, 6.4), 79-4 (Madsen, 9.5), 87-5 (Stewart, 11.4), 87-6 (Manenti, 12.3), 101-7 (Campopiano, 14.2), 101-8 (Singh, 14.3), 111-9 (Meade, 16.2), 118-10 (Kalugamage, 18.1)
| Bowling | O | M | R | W | Econ | Dots | Wd | Nb | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MJ Humphreys | 4 | 0 | 16 | 4 | 4.00 | 13 | 0 | 0 | +21.4 |
| Mark Adair | 3.1 | 0 | 30 | 2 | 9.47 | 9 | 2 | 1 | −16.2 |
| Barry McCarthy | 3 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 4.67 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +16.7 |
| Joshua Little | 2 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 13.50 | 2 | 0 | 0 | −18.4 |
| Gareth Delany | 4 | 0 | 19 | 2 | 4.75 | 9 | 0 | 0 | +11.9 |
| George Dockrell | 2 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 5.50 | 7 | 0 | 0 | +0.4 |
| Batting | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Stirlingb JT Smuts | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | −7.1 |
| GR Adairc (sub) b G Stewart | 12 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 92.3 | +2.7 |
| Harry Tectorc AJ Mosca b Jaspreet Singh | 41 | 40 | 3 | 0 | 102.5 | +17.0 |
| Lorcan Tuckerc Jaspreet Singh b TJ Draca | 34 | 34 | 2 | 0 | 100.0 | +2.3 |
| BF Calitznot out | 9* | 12 | 0 | 0 | 75.0 | +2.3 |
| George Dockrellb TJ Draca | 9 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 150.0 | +0.3 |
| Gareth Delanyc GP Meade b G Stewart | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 66.7 | −0.3 |
| Mark Adairc WL Madsen b G Stewart | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | −2.7 |
| Barry McCarthynot out | 2* | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.0 | −1.3 |
| Extras b 1, lb 1, w 3, nb 3 | 8 | |||||
| Total 19.3 ov, 6.10 an over | 119/7 | |||||
Did not bat Joshua Little, MJ Humphreys
Fall of wickets 0-1 (Stirling, 0.2), 22-2 (Adair, 3.4), 93-3 (Tector, 13.5), 97-4 (Tucker, 14.5), 107-5 (Dockrell, 16.1), 112-6 (Delany, 17.2), 112-7 (Adair, 17.4)
| Bowling | O | M | R | W | Econ | Dots | Wd | Nb | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jon-Jon Smuts | 3.3 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 4.29 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +0.3 |
| Grant Stewart | 4 | 0 | 21 | 3 | 5.25 | 16 | 1 | 2 | −5.1 |
| TJ Draca | 4 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 6.25 | 11 | 2 | 0 | −10.0 |
| CJPF Kalugamage | 3 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 7.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | −3.9 |
| HJ Manenti | 2 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 7.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | −0.4 |
| Jaspreet Singh | 3 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 6.00 | 7 | 0 | 0 | +2.2 |
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The balls that decided it