India won by 124 runs
Before a ball was bowled the model made India 74% favourites, from the two XIs that took the field.
India win
Sri Lanka win
Turning point +11 to India. 0.5, the chase: Jasprit Bumrah to S de Livera, wicket, 0/2, needing 170. India went from 75% to 86%.
Moved it most Ishan Kishan +17.5 · Binura Fernando −14.4 · Jasprit Bumrah +13.7 · SSD Arachchige +12.0
| Batting | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vaibhav Suryavanshic Sineth Jayawardena b SSD Arachchige | 38 | 21 | 6 | 2 | 181.0 | +6.8 |
| Abhishek Sharmac Sineth Jayawardena b SSD Arachchige | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 233.3 | −6.0 |
| Sanju Samsonb KTH Ratnayake | 7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 77.8 | −3.7 |
| Shreyas Iyerb W Sahan | 13 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | −1.1 |
| Ishan Kishannot out | 80* | 46 | 4 | 5 | 173.9 | +17.5 |
| Axar Patelc SSD Arachchige b L Croospulle | 8 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 61.5 | −9.6 |
| Tilak Varmast S de Livera b MNK Fernando | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | −3.5 |
| Shivam Dubec SSD Arachchige b KTH Ratnayake | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 33.3 | −11.4 |
| Washington Sundarnot out | 7* | 3 | 0 | 1 | 233.3 | +5.0 |
| Extras lb 1, w 2, nb 1 | 4 | |||||
| Total 20 ov, 8.45 an over | 169/7 | |||||
Did not bat Ravi Bishnoi, Jasprit Bumrah
Fall of wickets 12-1 (Sharma, 1.2), 24-2 (Samson, 3), 59-3 (Suryavanshi, 6.2), 87-4 (Iyer, 9.4), 112-5 (Patel, 13.5), 125-6 (Varma, 15), 151-7 (Dube, 18.5)
| Bowling | O | M | R | W | Econ | Dots | Wd | Nb | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KTH Ratnayake | 4 | 0 | 32 | 2 | 8.00 | 14 | 0 | 1 | +1.8 |
| SSD Arachchige | 4 | 0 | 28 | 2 | 7.00 | 7 | 0 | 0 | +10.4 |
| Binura Fernando | 3 | 0 | 37 | 0 | 12.33 | 4 | 1 | 0 | −14.2 |
| W Sahan | 2 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 8.50 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +2.5 |
| Vijayakanth Viyaskanth | 1 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | −4.1 |
| L Croospulle | 4 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 6.25 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +10.4 |
| MNK Fernando | 2 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 10.00 | 5 | 0 | 0 | −2.6 |
| Batting | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sineth Jayawardenalbw b JJ Bumrah | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | −9.2 |
| L Croospullerun out (Ravi Bishnoi) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0.0 |
| S de Liverac SV Samson b JJ Bumrah | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | −10.8 |
| MNK Fernandorun out (SV Samson/AR Patel) | 15 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 136.4 | −6.8 |
| SSD Arachchigec V Suryavanshi b AR Patel | 9 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 112.5 | +1.6 |
| KNA Bandarac Washington Sundar b AR Patel | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | −3.9 |
| Chamika Karunaratnest SV Samson b Abhishek Sharma | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | −2.9 |
| W Sahanc Abhishek Sharma b Washington Sundar | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 12.5 | −5.2 |
| KTH Ratnayakerun out (Tilak Varma) | 5 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 33.3 | −1.3 |
| Vijayakanth Viyaskanthnot out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0.0 |
| Binura Fernandob Abhishek Sharma | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | −0.2 |
| Extras b 1, lb 5, w 5 | 11 | |||||
| Total 9.5 ov, 4.58 an over | 45 | |||||
Fall of wickets 0-1 (Jayawardena, 0.2), 0-2 (de Livera, 0.5), 2-3 (Croospulle, 1.1), 18-4 (Arachchige, 3.1), 18-5 (Bandara, 3.4), 31-6 (Fernando, 4.5), 33-7 (Sahan, 6.2), 45-8 (Ratnayake, 9.3), 45-9 (Karunaratne, 9.4), 45-10 (Fernando, 9.5)
| Bowling | O | M | R | W | Econ | Dots | Wd | Nb | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasprit Bumrah | 2 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 3.50 | 9 | 0 | 0 | +13.7 |
| Axar Patel | 3 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 2.67 | 14 | 1 | 0 | +10.5 |
| Washington Sundar | 3 | 1 | 18 | 1 | 6.00 | 14 | 1 | 0 | +2.0 |
| Ravi Bishnoi | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4.00 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +0.2 |
| Abhishek Sharma | 0.5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2.40 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +0.8 |
Fielding Ravi Bishnoi +4.7, Axar Patel +2.7, Tilak Varma +0.7, Sanju Samson +2.7 (run-outs)
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The balls that decided it