England won by 146 runs
Before a ball was bowled the model made South Africa 54% favourites, from the two XIs that took the field. They lost.
England win
South Africa win
Turning point +7 to England. 2.1, first innings: Lizaad Williams to Jos Buttler, 6 runs, 31/0. England went from 60% to 67%.
Moved it most Phil Salt +32.6 · Lizaad Williams −27.6 · Jos Buttler +20.4 · Marco Jansen −15.2
| Batting | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phil Saltnot out | 141* | 60 | 15 | 8 | 235.0 | +32.6 |
| Jos Buttlerc T Stubbs b BC Fortuin | 83 | 30 | 8 | 7 | 276.7 | +20.4 |
| Jacob Bethellc M Jansen b BC Fortuin | 26 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 185.7 | +0.5 |
| Harry Brooknot out | 41* | 21 | 5 | 1 | 195.2 | +3.1 |
| Extras w 8, nb 5 | 13 | |||||
| Total 20 ov, 15.20 an over | 304/2 | |||||
Did not bat Sam Curran, Tom Banton, William Jacks, Liam Dawson, Jofra Archer, Adil Rashid, Luke Wood
Fall of wickets 126-1 (Buttler, 7.5), 221-2 (Bethell, 14.1)
| Bowling | O | M | R | W | Econ | Dots | Wd | Nb | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marco Jansen | 4 | 0 | 60 | 0 | 15.00 | 6 | 0 | 0 | −15.1 |
| Kagiso Rabada | 4 | 0 | 70 | 0 | 17.50 | 5 | 2 | 4 | −10.4 |
| Lizaad Williams | 3 | 0 | 62 | 0 | 20.67 | 2 | 3 | 0 | −27.6 |
| Bjorn Fortuin | 4 | 0 | 52 | 2 | 13.00 | 5 | 2 | 0 | −2.8 |
| Kwena Maphaka | 4 | 0 | 41 | 0 | 10.25 | 7 | 1 | 1 | −6.0 |
| Aiden Markram | 1 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 19.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1.6 |
| Batting | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aiden Markramc WG Jacks b AU Rashid | 41 | 20 | 2 | 4 | 205.0 | +0.7 |
| Ryan Rickeltonc LA Dawson b JC Archer | 20 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 200.0 | −5.2 |
| Lhuan-dre Pretoriusc L Wood b JC Archer | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | +1.7 |
| Dewald Brevisc JC Archer b SM Curran | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 133.3 | −0.8 |
| Tristan Stubbsc JC Archer b LA Dawson | 23 | 25 | 0 | 1 | 92.0 | −1.2 |
| Donovan Ferreirac JC Buttler b SM Curran | 23 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 209.1 | 0.0 |
| Marco Jansenc & b JC Archer | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | −0.2 |
| Bjorn Fortuinc JC Buttler b WG Jacks | 32 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 200.0 | 0.0 |
| Kagiso Rabadac JC Archer b LA Dawson | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 225.0 | 0.0 |
| Kwena Maphakac JG Bethell b WG Jacks | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Lizaad Williamsnot out | 0* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Extras w 4 | 4 | |||||
| Total 16.1 ov, 9.77 an over | 158 | |||||
Fall of wickets 50-1 (Rickelton, 3.4), 53-2 (Pretorius, 4), 58-3 (Brevis, 4.4), 77-4 (Markram, 7.3), 115-5 (Ferreira, 10.5), 116-6 (Jansen, 11.3), 127-7 (Stubbs, 13.4), 158-8 (Fortuin, 15.3), 158-9 (Maphaka, 15.4), 158-10 (Rabada, 16.1)
| Bowling | O | M | R | W | Econ | Dots | Wd | Nb | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Wood | 3 | 0 | 38 | 0 | 12.67 | 6 | 0 | 0 | −3.9 |
| Jofra Archer | 3 | 0 | 25 | 3 | 8.33 | 11 | 1 | 0 | +3.7 |
| Sam Curran | 2 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 5.50 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +2.5 |
| Liam Dawson | 3.1 | 0 | 34 | 2 | 10.74 | 5 | 0 | 0 | −0.3 |
| Adil Rashid | 4 | 0 | 48 | 1 | 12.00 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0.0 |
| William Jacks | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2.00 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
Win is the win chance a player added for his side, in points (100 = a match turned round): batting in the top table, bowling in the bottom. Point at or tap a player to see his balls on the chart.
The whole match on one screen: a row for every over, a square for every ball, coloured by how far it moved the match. Pick any ball, play it through, or click a name to follow one player.
The balls that decided it
