Worcestershire won by 25 runs
Before a ball was bowled the model made Worcestershire 57% favourites, from the two XIs that took the field.
Worcestershire win
Nottinghamshire win
Turning point −12 to Nottinghamshire. 1.1, first innings: Dillon Pennington to Edward Pollock, wicket, 1/2. Worcestershire went from 45% to 33%.
Moved it most Adam Hose +22.6 · C McKerr −14.2 · Edward Pollock −11.4 · Kashif Ali +9.7
| Batting | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edward Pollockc M Montgomery b DY Pennington | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.3 | −11.4 |
| Brett D'Oliveirarun out (DR Sams) | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | −8.2 |
| Kashif Alic LW James b CG Harrison | 51 | 35 | 4 | 3 | 145.7 | +9.7 |
| Adam Hoselbw b DY Pennington | 95 | 51 | 7 | 6 | 186.3 | +22.6 |
| Ethan Brookesc DR Sams b LA Patterson-White | 32 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 168.4 | +8.3 |
| Benjamin Dwarshuisnot out | 18* | 9 | 0 | 2 | 200.0 | +0.4 |
| TI Hinleynot out | 4* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 200.0 | −0.3 |
| Extras w 5 | 5 | |||||
| Total 20 ov, 10.30 an over | 206/5 | |||||
Did not bat Gareth Roderick, Tom Taylor, Jacob Duffy, F Singh
Fall of wickets 1-1 (D'Oliveira, 0.3), 1-2 (Pollock, 1.1), 74-3 (Ali, 9.2), 153-4 (Brookes, 15.4), 202-5 (Hose, 19.4)
| Bowling | O | M | R | W | Econ | Dots | Wd | Nb | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Sams | 4 | 0 | 48 | 0 | 12.00 | 7 | 1 | 0 | −13.0 |
| Dillon Pennington | 4 | 0 | 48 | 2 | 12.00 | 8 | 1 | 0 | +0.7 |
| C McKerr | 4 | 0 | 40 | 0 | 10.00 | 6 | 1 | 0 | −14.1 |
| Matthew Montgomery | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | −1.4 |
| Liam Patterson-White | 4 | 0 | 37 | 1 | 9.25 | 5 | 1 | 0 | −9.3 |
| Calvin Harrison | 3 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 8.33 | 8 | 1 | 0 | +0.7 |
Fielding Daniel Sams +8.2 (run-outs)
| Batting | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Clarkec BL D'Oliveira b TAI Taylor | 31 | 24 | 2 | 2 | 129.2 | −6.1 |
| LW Jamesc AJ Hose b TAI Taylor | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.0 | −4.5 |
| Jack Haynesc TAI Taylor b JA Duffy | 19 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 126.7 | −0.6 |
| Moises Henriquesst GH Roderick b F Singh | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 125.0 | +0.3 |
| Thomas Mooresc TI Hinley b JA Duffy | 39 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 144.4 | −3.3 |
| Daniel Samsc AJ Hose b EA Brookes | 20 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 166.7 | +0.2 |
| Matthew Montgomeryc GH Roderick b BJ Dwarshuis | 15 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 187.5 | −0.6 |
| Liam Patterson-Whitenot out | 39* | 19 | 3 | 2 | 205.3 | +3.1 |
| C McKerrnot out | 4* | 7 | 0 | 0 | 57.1 | −0.1 |
| Extras lb 3, w 5 | 8 | |||||
| Total 20 ov, 9.05 an over | 181/7 | |||||
Did not bat Calvin Harrison, Dillon Pennington
Fall of wickets 3-1 (James, 1), 38-2 (Haynes, 4.5), 44-3 (Henriques, 6.2), 72-4 (Clarke, 10.1), 112-5 (Sams, 13.5), 129-6 (Moores, 15.1), 151-7 (Montgomery, 16.4)
| Bowling | O | M | R | W | Econ | Dots | Wd | Nb | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Taylor | 4 | 0 | 36 | 2 | 9.00 | 10 | 2 | 0 | +5.9 |
| Jacob Duffy | 4 | 0 | 42 | 2 | 10.50 | 8 | 1 | 0 | −5.0 |
| Benjamin Dwarshuis | 4 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 5.75 | 13 | 1 | 0 | +3.4 |
| F Singh | 4 | 0 | 38 | 1 | 9.50 | 9 | 1 | 0 | +5.2 |
| TI Hinley | 2 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 9.00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | −1.6 |
| Ethan Brookes | 2 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 10.50 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +0.6 |
Win is the win chance a player added for his side, in points (100 = a match turned round): batting in the top table, bowling in the bottom. Point at or tap a player to see his balls on the chart.
The whole match on one screen: a row for every over, a square for every ball, coloured by how far it moved the match. Pick any ball, play it through, or click a name to follow one player.
The balls that decided it
