Birmingham Bears won by 58 runs
Before a ball was bowled the model made Birmingham Bears 70% favourites, from the two XIs that took the field.
Birmingham Bears win
Derbyshire win
Turning point +6 to Birmingham Bears. 11.5 nb, first innings: AM Ghazanfar to Tom Latham, 8 runs, 109/1. Birmingham Bears went from 75% to 82%.
Moved it most Fynn Hudson-Prentice −10.2 · Moeen Ali +8.1 · BW Aitchison −7.8 · Wayne Madsen +6.5
| Batting | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Daviesc AHT Donald b PR Brown | 49 | 29 | 5 | 3 | 169.0 | +4.7 |
| Tom Lathamc DL Lloyd b AM Ghazanfar | 58 | 42 | 5 | 2 | 138.1 | +5.8 |
| Daniel Mousleyb AT Thomson | 13 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 130.0 | +1.0 |
| Samuel Hainc RA Whiteley b FJ Hudson-Prentice | 20 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 166.7 | +0.8 |
| Moeen Alinot out | 33* | 17 | 2 | 2 | 194.1 | +7.5 |
| Edward Barnardb PR Brown | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 66.7 | −1.3 |
| K Smithb PR Brown | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | −1.9 |
| George Gartonnot out | 16* | 4 | 2 | 1 | 400.0 | +5.9 |
| Extras w 4, nb 2 | 6 | |||||
| Total 20 ov, 9.95 an over | 199/6 | |||||
Did not bat Danny Briggs, Hasan Ali, Jacob Lintott
Fall of wickets 79-1 (Davies, 9), 122-2 (Mousley, 12.5), 131-3 (Latham, 14.2), 153-4 (Hain, 16.3), 174-5 (Barnard, 18.4), 174-6 (Smith, 18.5)
| Bowling | O | M | R | W | Econ | Dots | Wd | Nb | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BW Aitchison | 4 | 0 | 49 | 0 | 12.25 | 6 | 1 | 0 | −7.2 |
| Fynn Hudson-Prentice | 4 | 0 | 42 | 1 | 10.50 | 5 | 0 | 0 | −12.9 |
| AM Ghazanfar | 4 | 0 | 35 | 1 | 8.75 | 9 | 1 | 2 | −5.9 |
| Patrick Brown | 4 | 0 | 40 | 3 | 10.00 | 8 | 1 | 0 | +1.7 |
| Alexander Thomson | 3 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 7.33 | 3 | 1 | 0 | −1.1 |
| Martin Andersson | 1 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 11.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | −1.2 |
| Batting | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aneurin Donaldc GHS Garton b EG Barnard | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.3 | −1.6 |
| Caleb Jewellc & b GHS Garton | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | +0.4 |
| David Lloydc GHS Garton b Hasan Ali | 17 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 188.9 | −1.3 |
| Wayne Madsenc K Smith b DR Briggs | 46 | 32 | 3 | 3 | 143.8 | +6.5 |
| Martin Anderssonc EG Barnard b Hasan Ali | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 133.3 | −1.2 |
| Ross Whiteleyc GHS Garton b Hasan Ali | 50 | 37 | 2 | 3 | 135.1 | −0.1 |
| Fynn Hudson-Prenticenot out | 13* | 7 | 0 | 1 | 185.7 | +2.7 |
| Alexander Thomsonc GHS Garton b Hasan Ali | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | −1.3 |
| BW Aitchisonb Hasan Ali | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | −0.6 |
| AM Ghazanfarc SR Hain b DR Mousley | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | −0.2 |
| Patrick Brownb Hasan Ali | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.3 | −0.1 |
| Extras w 5 | 5 | |||||
| Total 17.1 ov, 8.21 an over | 141 | |||||
Fall of wickets 1-1 (Jewell, 0.5), 1-2 (Donald, 1.1), 24-3 (Lloyd, 3.3), 28-4 (Andersson, 4), 103-5 (Madsen, 13), 135-6 (Whiteley, 15.3), 135-7 (Thomson, 15.4), 135-8 (Aitchison, 15.5), 140-9 (Ghazanfar, 16.4), 141-10 (Brown, 17.1)
| Bowling | O | M | R | W | Econ | Dots | Wd | Nb | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Garton | 3 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 6.67 | 8 | 3 | 0 | −7.0 |
| Edward Barnard | 1 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 9.00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +0.3 |
| Hasan Ali | 3.1 | 0 | 23 | 6 | 7.26 | 11 | 0 | 0 | +6.0 |
| Danny Briggs | 2 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 9.00 | 5 | 0 | 0 | −0.4 |
| Moeen Ali | 2 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 7.00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +0.6 |
| Jacob Lintott | 3 | 0 | 37 | 0 | 12.33 | 3 | 1 | 0 | −6.0 |
| Daniel Mousley | 3 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 6.67 | 7 | 1 | 0 | +0.4 |
Win is the win chance a player added for his side, in points (100 = a match turned round): batting in the top table, bowling in the bottom. Point at or tap a player to see his balls on the chart.
The whole match on one screen: a row for every over, a square for every ball, coloured by how far it moved the match. Pick any ball, play it through, or click a name to follow one player.
The balls that decided it
