Australia won by 3 wickets
Before a ball was bowled the model made Australia 74% favourites, from the two XIs that took the field.
West Indies win
Australia win
Turning point +10 to West Indies. 2.2, the chase: Alzarri Joseph to Mitchell Marsh, wicket, 25/3, needing 146. West Indies went from 16% to 26%.
Moved it most Jason Holder −15.4 · J Blades −13.7 · Cameron Green +9.8 · Romario Shepherd −9.1
| Batting | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Kingc TH David b BJ Dwarshuis | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 122.2 | −7.7 |
| Shai Hopeb BJ Dwarshuis | 9 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 150.0 | −1.5 |
| Keacy Cartyc GJ Maxwell b AM Hardie | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 12.5 | −5.4 |
| Sherfane Rutherfordb GJ Maxwell | 35 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 205.9 | +3.3 |
| Shimron Hetmyerc SA Abbott b BJ Dwarshuis | 52 | 31 | 3 | 3 | 167.7 | +6.6 |
| Jason Holderc JP Inglis b SA Abbott | 20 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 133.3 | −3.4 |
| Romario Shepherdb NT Ellis | 8 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 100.0 | −1.6 |
| Matthew Fordec MR Marsh b NT Ellis | 15 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 150.0 | +0.4 |
| Alzarri Josephb A Zampa | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 75.0 | −1.7 |
| Akeal Hoseinrun out (NT Ellis) | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 122.2 | +1.4 |
| J Bladesnot out | 1* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.3 | +0.1 |
| Extras lb 2, w 1, nb 1 | 4 | |||||
| Total 19.5 ov, 8.57 an over | 170 | |||||
Fall of wickets 14-1 (Hope, 1.3), 22-2 (King, 3.1), 32-3 (Carty, 4.4), 64-4 (Rutherford, 7.4), 111-5 (Holder, 12.4), 123-6 (Shepherd, 14.4), 155-7 (Hetmyer, 17), 157-8 (Forde, 17.3), 159-9 (Joseph, 18.2), 170-10 (Hosein, 19.5)
| Bowling | O | M | R | W | Econ | Dots | Wd | Nb | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Hardie | 4.1 | 0 | 39 | 1 | 9.36 | 10 | 0 | 0 | +1.5 |
| Benjamin Dwarshuis | 4 | 0 | 41 | 3 | 10.25 | 10 | 1 | 1 | +0.6 |
| Sean Abbott | 4 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 7.50 | 10 | 0 | 0 | +3.8 |
| Nathan Ellis | 3.4 | 0 | 32 | 2 | 8.73 | 8 | 0 | 0 | −2.3 |
| Glenn Maxwell | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 6.00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +5.3 |
| Adam Zampa | 3 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 6.67 | 7 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
Fielding Nathan Ellis +0.6 (run-outs)
| Batting | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Marshb AS Joseph | 14 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 175.0 | +2.7 |
| Glenn Maxwellc J Blades b JO Holder | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | −3.4 |
| Joshua Inglisc MW Forde b JO Holder | 10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 200.0 | +2.9 |
| Cameron Greenc MW Forde b AJ Hosein | 32 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 177.8 | +9.8 |
| Tim Davidc SO Hetmyer b AS Joseph | 30 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 250.0 | +3.9 |
| Mitchell Owenc AS Joseph b AJ Hosein | 37 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 217.6 | +6.7 |
| Aaron Hardienot out | 28* | 25 | 2 | 1 | 112.0 | +2.1 |
| Benjamin Dwarshuisc J Andrew (sub) b AJ Hosein | 9 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 64.3 | −0.6 |
| Sean Abbottnot out | 5* | 3 | 1 | 0 | 166.7 | +0.3 |
| Extras w 7, nb 1 | 8 | |||||
| Total 17 ov, 10.18 an over | 173/7 | |||||
Did not bat Nathan Ellis, Adam Zampa
Fall of wickets 12-1 (Maxwell, 1.1), 23-2 (Inglis, 2), 25-3 (Marsh, 2.2), 60-4 (David, 4.4), 123-5 (Owen, 9.2), 141-6 (Green, 12), 166-7 (Dwarshuis, 16)
| Bowling | O | M | R | W | Econ | Dots | Wd | Nb | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J Blades | 3 | 0 | 38 | 0 | 12.67 | 4 | 1 | 1 | −13.8 |
| Jason Holder | 3 | 0 | 36 | 2 | 12.00 | 6 | 1 | 0 | −12.0 |
| Alzarri Joseph | 2.1 | 0 | 21 | 2 | 9.69 | 7 | 1 | 0 | +7.0 |
| Matthew Forde | 3 | 0 | 35 | 0 | 11.67 | 4 | 2 | 0 | −5.0 |
| Romario Shepherd | 1.5 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 14.18 | 0 | 1 | 0 | −7.5 |
| Akeal Hosein | 4 | 0 | 17 | 3 | 4.25 | 11 | 1 | 0 | +3.7 |
Win is the win chance a player added for his side, in points (100 = a match turned round): batting in the top table, bowling in the bottom. Point at or tap a player to see his balls on the chart.
The whole match on one screen: a row for every over, a square for every ball, coloured by how far it moved the match. Pick any ball, play it through, or click a name to follow one player.
The balls that decided it
