Australia won by 2 wickets
Before a ball was bowled the model made Australia 55% favourites, from the two XIs that took the field.
South Africa win
Australia win
Turning point −29 to Australia. 19.2, the chase: Lungi Ngidi to Glenn Maxwell, 4 runs, 169/8, needing 4. South Africa went from 44% to 15%.
Moved it most Glenn Maxwell +74.3 · Lungi Ngidi −52.6 · Corbin Bosch +47.8 · Aaron Hardie −32.3
| Batting | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aiden Markramc C Green b JR Hazlewood | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.3 | −8.7 |
| Ryan Rickeltonc JP Inglis b A Zampa | 13 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 100.0 | −10.6 |
| Lhuan-dre Pretoriusc AM Hardie b NT Ellis | 24 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 160.0 | +1.0 |
| Dewald Brevisc GJ Maxwell b NT Ellis | 53 | 26 | 1 | 6 | 203.8 | +21.0 |
| Tristan Stubbsb A Zampa | 25 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 108.7 | −8.6 |
| Rassie van der Dussennot out | 38* | 26 | 3 | 0 | 146.2 | +2.7 |
| Corbin Boschc NT Ellis b JR Hazlewood | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.0 | −2.9 |
| Senuran Muthusamyc JR Hazlewood b NT Ellis | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 112.5 | −2.3 |
| Kagiso Rabadanot out | 4* | 2 | 1 | 0 | 200.0 | +2.8 |
| Extras b 1, lb 1, w 2 | 4 | |||||
| Total 20 ov, 8.60 an over | 172/7 | |||||
Did not bat Kwena Maphaka, Lungi Ngidi
Fall of wickets 2-1 (Markram, 0.5), 32-2 (Pretorius, 4.2), 49-3 (Rickelton, 6.5), 110-4 (Brevis, 11.4), 137-5 (Stubbs, 15.4), 138-6 (Bosch, 16.2), 165-7 (Muthusamy, 19.2)
| Bowling | O | M | R | W | Econ | Dots | Wd | Nb | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Hazlewood | 4 | 0 | 30 | 2 | 7.50 | 9 | 0 | 0 | +4.7 |
| Aaron Hardie | 2 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 16.50 | 4 | 1 | 0 | −24.8 |
| Benjamin Dwarshuis | 4 | 0 | 37 | 0 | 9.25 | 8 | 0 | 0 | −8.6 |
| Nathan Ellis | 4 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 7.75 | 8 | 1 | 0 | +12.1 |
| Adam Zampa | 4 | 0 | 24 | 2 | 6.00 | 7 | 0 | 0 | +17.0 |
| Glenn Maxwell | 2 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 7.50 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3.0 |
| Batting | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Marshc LG Pretorius b KT Maphaka | 54 | 37 | 3 | 5 | 145.9 | −1.9 |
| Travis Headc L Ngidi b AK Markram | 19 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 105.6 | −21.1 |
| Joshua Inglisb C Bosch | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | −1.3 |
| Cameron Greenc D Brevis b KT Maphaka | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 112.5 | −3.9 |
| Tim Davidc & b K Rabada | 17 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 188.9 | −6.0 |
| Glenn Maxwellnot out | 62* | 36 | 8 | 2 | 172.2 | +71.3 |
| Aaron Hardiec C Bosch b K Rabada | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | −7.5 |
| Benjamin Dwarshuisb C Bosch | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16.7 | −20.0 |
| Nathan Ellisc RD Rickelton b C Bosch | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | −12.6 |
| Adam Zampanot out | 0* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | −15.6 |
| Extras lb 5, w 4, nb 1 | 10 | |||||
| Total 19.5 ov, 8.72 an over | 173/8 | |||||
Did not bat Josh Hazlewood
Fall of wickets 66-1 (Head, 8), 71-2 (Inglis, 8.4), 83-3 (Marsh, 10.2), 88-4 (Green, 10.5), 120-5 (David, 13.1), 122-6 (Hardie, 13.5), 163-7 (Dwarshuis, 18.3), 163-8 (Ellis, 18.4)
| Bowling | O | M | R | W | Econ | Dots | Wd | Nb | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kagiso Rabada | 4 | 0 | 32 | 2 | 8.00 | 14 | 2 | 1 | +9.6 |
| Aiden Markram | 2 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 3.00 | 7 | 0 | 0 | +22.7 |
| Lungi Ngidi | 3.5 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 8.87 | 10 | 0 | 0 | −52.6 |
| Kwena Maphaka | 3 | 0 | 36 | 2 | 12.00 | 6 | 0 | 0 | +9.9 |
| Senuran Muthusamy | 3 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 11.33 | 6 | 1 | 0 | −20.5 |
| Corbin Bosch | 4 | 1 | 26 | 3 | 6.50 | 12 | 1 | 0 | +50.6 |
Win is the win chance a player added for his side, in points (100 = a match turned round): batting in the top table, bowling in the bottom. Point at or tap a player to see his balls on the chart.
The whole match on one screen: a row for every over, a square for every ball, coloured by how far it moved the match. Pick any ball, play it through, or click a name to follow one player.
The balls that decided it
