South Africa won by 53 runs
Before a ball was bowled the model made South Africa 51% favourites, from the two XIs that took the field.
South Africa win
Australia win
Turning point +21 to South Africa. 9.4, the chase: Kagiso Rabada to Tim David, wicket, 104/4, needing 115. South Africa went from 52% to 73%.
Moved it most Dewald Brevis +28.7 · Kagiso Rabada +28.3 · Mitchell Owen −25.9 · N Peter −21.7
| Batting | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aiden Markramc MJ Owen b GJ Maxwell | 18 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 138.5 | −4.0 |
| Ryan Rickeltonc TH David b BJ Dwarshuis | 14 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 140.0 | −5.6 |
| Lhuan-dre Pretoriusst AT Carey b GJ Maxwell | 10 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 100.0 | −10.4 |
| Dewald Brevisnot out | 125* | 56 | 12 | 8 | 223.2 | +28.7 |
| Tristan Stubbsc MP Kuhnemann (sub) b A Zampa | 31 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 140.9 | −1.6 |
| Rassie van der Dussenc SA Abbott b BJ Dwarshuis | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 166.7 | 0.0 |
| Corbin Boschb JR Hazlewood | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | −2.5 |
| Kagiso Rabadarun out (AT Carey/SA Abbott) | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 125.0 | +1.2 |
| Extras b 1, lb 3, w 5, nb 1 | 10 | |||||
| Total 20 ov, 10.90 an over | 218/7 | |||||
Did not bat N Peter, Kwena Maphaka, Lungi Ngidi
Fall of wickets 34-1 (Rickelton, 3.3), 44-2 (Markram, 4.5), 57-3 (Pretorius, 6.5), 183-4 (Stubbs, 16.2), 196-5 (van der Dussen, 17.4), 197-6 (Bosch, 18.2), 218-7 (Rabada, 20)
| Bowling | O | M | R | W | Econ | Dots | Wd | Nb | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Hazlewood | 4 | 0 | 56 | 1 | 14.00 | 6 | 0 | 0 | −19.8 |
| Glenn Maxwell | 4 | 0 | 44 | 2 | 11.00 | 10 | 0 | 0 | +13.3 |
| Benjamin Dwarshuis | 4 | 0 | 24 | 2 | 6.00 | 14 | 1 | 0 | +13.8 |
| Sean Abbott | 4 | 0 | 44 | 0 | 11.00 | 3 | 2 | 1 | −13.2 |
| Adam Zampa | 4 | 0 | 46 | 1 | 11.50 | 7 | 2 | 0 | −2.8 |
Fielding Sean Abbott +0.5, Alex Carey +0.5 (run-outs)
| Batting | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Marshc T Stubbs b C Bosch | 22 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 169.2 | +4.8 |
| Travis Headc LG Pretorius b AK Markram | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 62.5 | −18.6 |
| Cameron Greenc N Peter b KT Maphaka | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 128.6 | −0.7 |
| Tim Davidc HE van der Dussen b K Rabada | 50 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 208.3 | +7.8 |
| Glenn Maxwellc D Brevis b KT Maphaka | 16 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 160.0 | −6.6 |
| Mitchell Owenb KT Maphaka | 8 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 61.5 | −25.9 |
| Alex Careyc D Brevis b N Peter | 26 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 144.4 | +6.6 |
| Benjamin Dwarshuisb C Bosch | 12 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 171.4 | +0.8 |
| Sean Abbottc K Rabada b L Ngidi | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16.7 | −0.2 |
| Adam Zampac T Stubbs b C Bosch | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | −0.4 |
| Josh Hazlewoodnot out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0.0 |
| Extras lb 4, w 11, nb 1 | 16 | |||||
| Total 17.4 ov, 9.34 an over | 165 | |||||
Fall of wickets 16-1 (Head, 2), 29-2 (Green, 3.3), 77-3 (Marsh, 7.1), 104-4 (David, 9.4), 112-5 (Maxwell, 10.5), 147-6 (Owen, 14.4), 151-7 (Carey, 15.4), 165-8 (Dwarshuis, 16.5), 165-9 (Zampa, 17), 165-10 (Abbott, 17.4)
| Bowling | O | M | R | W | Econ | Dots | Wd | Nb | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kagiso Rabada | 3 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 7.00 | 10 | 4 | 0 | +27.2 |
| Aiden Markram | 1 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 9.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | −0.3 |
| Lungi Ngidi | 3.4 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 5.18 | 11 | 0 | 0 | +0.9 |
| Kwena Maphaka | 4 | 0 | 57 | 3 | 14.25 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +4.4 |
| N Peter | 3 | 0 | 35 | 1 | 11.67 | 5 | 3 | 0 | −21.7 |
| Corbin Bosch | 3 | 0 | 20 | 3 | 6.67 | 8 | 1 | 0 | +8.9 |
Win is the win chance a player added for his side, in points (100 = a match turned round): batting in the top table, bowling in the bottom. Point at or tap a player to see his balls on the chart.
The whole match on one screen: a row for every over, a square for every ball, coloured by how far it moved the match. Pick any ball, play it through, or click a name to follow one player.
The balls that decided it
