Australia won by 17 runs
Before a ball was bowled the model made Australia 58% favourites, from the two XIs that took the field.
Australia win
South Africa win
Turning point −17 to South Africa. 0.2, the chase: Josh Hazlewood to Aiden Markram, 4 runs, 4/0, needing 175. Australia went from 61% to 45%.
Moved it most Adam Zampa −26.3 · George Linde −26.2 · Dewald Brevis −24.3 · Corbin Bosch −23.8
| Batting | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Marshc KT Maphaka b K Rabada | 13 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 185.7 | −4.7 |
| Travis Headc KT Maphaka b K Rabada | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 28.6 | −10.3 |
| Joshua Inglisc S Muthusamy b GF Linde | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | −7.2 |
| Cameron Greenc RD Rickelton b L Ngidi | 35 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 269.2 | +18.1 |
| Tim Davidc T Stubbs b KT Maphaka | 83 | 52 | 4 | 8 | 159.6 | +8.3 |
| Mitchell Owenb KT Maphaka | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | −14.1 |
| Glenn Maxwellc GF Linde b S Muthusamy | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.0 | −13.2 |
| Benjamin Dwarshuisc AK Markram b KT Maphaka | 17 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 89.5 | −3.2 |
| Nathan Ellisrun out (C Bosch) | 12 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 109.1 | +5.3 |
| Adam Zampac D Brevis b KT Maphaka | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | −2.9 |
| Josh Hazlewoodnot out | 0* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | −0.6 |
| Extras lb 1, w 9, nb 2 | 12 | |||||
| Total 20 ov, 8.90 an over | 178 | |||||
Fall of wickets 15-1 (Head, 2), 16-2 (Inglis, 2.2), 30-3 (Marsh, 3.1), 70-4 (Green, 5.5), 73-5 (Owen, 6.4), 75-6 (Maxwell, 7.4), 134-7 (Dwarshuis, 14.4), 164-8 (David, 18.2), 166-9 (Zampa, 18.5), 178-10 (Ellis, 20)
| Bowling | O | M | R | W | Econ | Dots | Wd | Nb | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lungi Ngidi | 3 | 0 | 34 | 1 | 11.33 | 8 | 1 | 0 | +4.0 |
| Kagiso Rabada | 4 | 0 | 29 | 2 | 7.25 | 13 | 2 | 1 | +12.6 |
| George Linde | 2 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 13.00 | 5 | 5 | 0 | −18.4 |
| Corbin Bosch | 3 | 0 | 44 | 0 | 14.67 | 5 | 0 | 1 | −16.1 |
| Kwena Maphaka | 4 | 0 | 20 | 4 | 5.00 | 13 | 1 | 0 | +23.8 |
| Senuran Muthusamy | 4 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 6.00 | 15 | 0 | 0 | +13.1 |
| Batting | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aiden Markramc C Green b JR Hazlewood | 12 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 200.0 | +19.1 |
| Ryan Rickeltonc GJ Maxwell b BJ Dwarshuis | 71 | 55 | 7 | 1 | 129.1 | +8.7 |
| Lhuan-dre Pretoriusc MJ Owen b GJ Maxwell | 14 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 155.6 | −0.2 |
| Dewald Brevisc SA Abbott (sub) b BJ Dwarshuis | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 33.3 | −24.3 |
| Tristan Stubbsc JP Inglis b JR Hazlewood | 37 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 137.0 | +6.3 |
| George Lindec GJ Maxwell b JR Hazlewood | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | −7.8 |
| Corbin Boschb A Zampa | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | −8.1 |
| Senuran Muthusamylbw b A Zampa | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | −3.6 |
| Kagiso Rabadab BJ Dwarshuis | 10 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 166.7 | +1.2 |
| Kwena Maphakanot out | 3* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.0 |
| Extras lb 2, w 8 | 10 | |||||
| Total 20 ov, 8.05 an over | 161/9 | |||||
Did not bat Lungi Ngidi
Fall of wickets 12-1 (Markram, 1), 40-2 (Pretorius, 4.4), 48-3 (Brevis, 5.5), 120-4 (Stubbs, 14.3), 120-5 (Linde, 15), 123-6 (Bosch, 15.5), 123-7 (Muthusamy, 16), 158-8 (Rickelton, 19.2), 161-9 (Rabada, 20)
| Bowling | O | M | R | W | Econ | Dots | Wd | Nb | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Hazlewood | 4 | 0 | 27 | 3 | 6.75 | 14 | 0 | 0 | +13.0 |
| Glenn Maxwell | 4 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 7.25 | 8 | 1 | 0 | −5.5 |
| Benjamin Dwarshuis | 4 | 0 | 26 | 3 | 6.50 | 12 | 5 | 0 | +17.1 |
| Adam Zampa | 4 | 0 | 33 | 2 | 8.25 | 7 | 0 | 0 | −23.4 |
| Nathan Ellis | 4 | 0 | 44 | 0 | 11.00 | 5 | 2 | 0 | −3.1 |
Win is the win chance a player added for his side, in points (100 = a match turned round): batting in the top table, bowling in the bottom. Point at or tap a player to see his balls on the chart.
The whole match on one screen: a row for every over, a square for every ball, coloured by how far it moved the match. Pick any ball, play it through, or click a name to follow one player.
The balls that decided it
