Pakistan won by 6 wickets
Before a ball was bowled the model made Pakistan 61% favourites, from the two XIs that took the field.
Sri Lanka win
Pakistan win
Turning point −7 to Pakistan. 13.1, first innings: Saim Ayub to K Mishara, wicket, 98/3. Sri Lanka went from 34% to 27%.
Moved it most Saim Ayub +28.7 · Kusal Mendis −17.4 · Abrar Ahmed +15.2 · K Mishara −13.8
| Batting | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pathum Nissankab Shaheen Shah Afridi | 11 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 157.1 | −3.3 |
| K Misharac Babar Azam b Saim Ayub | 59 | 47 | 2 | 4 | 125.5 | −13.0 |
| Kusal Mendisc Babar Azam b Mohammad Nawaz | 14 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 77.8 | −17.4 |
| P Rathnayakec Babar Azam b Abrar Ahmed | 8 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 72.7 | −6.3 |
| Kusal Pererac Usman Khan b Abrar Ahmed | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16.7 | −7.6 |
| Dasun Shanakab Shaheen Shah Afridi | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 28.6 | −1.9 |
| J Liyanageb Mohammad Nawaz | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | −3.6 |
| Wanindu Hasarangab Mohammad Nawaz | 5 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 45.5 | −2.3 |
| Dushmantha Chameerab Salman Mirza | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | −1.7 |
| Maheesh Theekshanac Usman Khan b Shaheen Shah Afridi | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | −0.7 |
| Eshan Malinganot out | 0* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | +0.1 |
| Extras lb 8, w 5 | 13 | |||||
| Total 19.1 ov, 5.95 an over | 114 | |||||
Fall of wickets 20-1 (Nissanka, 2.4), 84-2 (Mendis, 10.3), 98-3 (Mishara, 13.1), 103-4 (Perera, 14.4), 104-5 (Rathnayake, 15), 105-6 (Liyanage, 15.3), 111-7 (de Silva, 17.5), 111-8 (Shanaka, 18.2), 113-9 (Theekshana, 18.5), 114-10 (Chameera, 19.1)
| Bowling | O | M | R | W | Econ | Dots | Wd | Nb | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shaheen Afridi | 3 | 0 | 18 | 3 | 6.00 | 11 | 3 | 0 | +7.2 |
| Salman Mirza | 3.1 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 7.89 | 10 | 0 | 0 | −0.4 |
| Faheem Ashraf | 1 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 11.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | −1.7 |
| Abrar Ahmed | 4 | 0 | 18 | 2 | 4.50 | 12 | 1 | 0 | +15.2 |
| Saim Ayub | 4 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 4.25 | 11 | 1 | 0 | +24.2 |
| Mohammad Nawaz | 4 | 0 | 17 | 3 | 4.25 | 10 | 0 | 0 | +9.7 |
| Batting | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sahibzada Farhanb E Malinga | 23 | 22 | 2 | 1 | 104.5 | −2.1 |
| Saim Ayublbw b PWH de Silva | 36 | 33 | 6 | 0 | 109.1 | +4.5 |
| Babar Azamnot out | 37* | 34 | 2 | 1 | 108.8 | +0.6 |
| Agha Salmanc MD Shanaka b P Rathnayake | 14 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 100.0 | +0.4 |
| Fakhar Zamanc MD Shanaka b P Rathnayake | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 60.0 | −0.1 |
| Usman Khannot out | 3* | 4 | 0 | 0 | 75.0 | +0.2 |
| Extras w 2 | 2 | |||||
| Total 18.4 ov, 6.32 an over | 118/4 | |||||
Did not bat Mohammad Nawaz, Faheem Ashraf, Shaheen Afridi, Salman Mirza, Abrar Ahmed
Fall of wickets 46-1 (Farhan, 7.3), 75-2 (Ayub, 11.3), 98-3 (Salman, 15.3), 104-4 (Zaman, 17.1)
| Bowling | O | M | R | W | Econ | Dots | Wd | Nb | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maheesh Theekshana | 4 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 5.50 | 12 | 0 | 0 | −3.5 |
| Dushmantha Chameera | 3.4 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 5.73 | 10 | 0 | 0 | +0.4 |
| Dasun Shanaka | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | −1.4 |
| Eshan Malinga | 3 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 5.33 | 7 | 2 | 0 | +1.5 |
| Wanindu Hasaranga | 4 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 7.75 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| K Mishara | 1 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −0.7 |
| P Rathnayake | 2 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 5.50 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
Win is the win chance a player added for his side, in points (100 = a match turned round): batting in the top table, bowling in the bottom. Point at or tap a player to see his balls on the chart.
The whole match on one screen: a row for every over, a square for every ball, coloured by how far it moved the match. Pick any ball, play it through, or click a name to follow one player.
The balls that decided it
