Sri Lanka won by 20 runs
Before a ball was bowled the model made Sri Lanka 58% favourites, from the two XIs that took the field.
Sri Lanka win
Ireland win
Turning point +25 to Sri Lanka. 3.2, the chase: Maheesh Theekshana to Paul Stirling, wicket, 24/1, needing 140. Sri Lanka went from 45% to 71%.
Moved it most Paul Stirling −41.2 · Wanindu Hasaranga +37.4 · Dunith Wellalage −26.5 · Maheesh Theekshana +26.4
| Batting | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pathum Nissankac PR Stirling b GH Dockrell | 24 | 23 | 1 | 1 | 104.3 | −12.7 |
| K Misharac BJ McCarthy b MR Adair | 14 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 127.3 | −2.7 |
| Kusal Mendisnot out | 56* | 43 | 5 | 0 | 130.2 | +6.5 |
| P Rathnayakeb GH Dockrell | 5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 55.6 | −8.4 |
| Dunith Wellalagec GH Dockrell b GJ Delany | 10 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 76.9 | −8.2 |
| Kamindu Mendisc GH Dockrell b BJ McCarthy | 44 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 231.6 | +21.8 |
| Dasun Shanakac MR Adair b BJ McCarthy | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | −2.5 |
| Wanindu Hasaranganot out | 1* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | −0.4 |
| Extras w 8, nb 1 | 9 | |||||
| Total 20 ov, 8.15 an over | 163/6 | |||||
Did not bat Dushmantha Chameera, Maheesh Theekshana, Matheesha Pathirana
Fall of wickets 28-1 (Mishara, 4), 62-2 (Nissanka, 8.2), 68-3 (Rathnayake, 10.1), 86-4 (Wellalage, 13.5), 153-5 (Mendis, 18.4), 153-6 (Shanaka, 18.5)
| Bowling | O | M | R | W | Econ | Dots | Wd | Nb | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MJ Humphreys | 4 | 0 | 44 | 0 | 11.00 | 4 | 0 | 0 | −23.6 |
| Mark Adair | 4 | 0 | 33 | 1 | 8.25 | 8 | 2 | 0 | +6.9 |
| Barry McCarthy | 3 | 0 | 40 | 2 | 13.33 | 8 | 5 | 1 | −7.5 |
| George Dockrell | 4 | 0 | 17 | 2 | 4.25 | 9 | 1 | 0 | +14.6 |
| Gareth Delany | 4 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 6.00 | 6 | 0 | 0 | +5.5 |
| Harry Tector | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 |
| Batting | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Stirlingb M Theekshana | 6 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 46.2 | −41.2 |
| GR Adairb PWH de Silva | 34 | 23 | 5 | 1 | 147.8 | −0.5 |
| Harry Tectorc P Rathnayake b PWH de Silva | 40 | 34 | 1 | 0 | 117.6 | −11.2 |
| Lorcan Tuckerc K Mishara b DN Wellalage | 21 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 116.7 | −12.1 |
| Curtis Campherc MD Shanaka b PWH de Silva | 13 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 118.2 | +10.0 |
| BF Calitzst BKG Mendis b M Theekshana | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | +5.4 |
| Gareth Delanyc PVD Chameera b M Theekshana | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | −4.8 |
| George Dockrellc PHKD Mendis b M Pathirana | 9 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 128.6 | −0.5 |
| Mark Adairc MD Shanaka b PVD Chameera | 10 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 166.7 | +0.6 |
| Barry McCarthynot out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0.0 |
| MJ Humphreysb M Pathirana | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | −0.1 |
| Extras b 1, lb 3, w 2 | 6 | |||||
| Total 19.5 ov, 7.21 an over | 143 | |||||
Fall of wickets 24-1 (Stirling, 3.2), 56-2 (Adair, 8), 105-3 (Tucker, 14.2), 113-4 (Tector, 15.1), 120-5 (Calitz, 16.3), 120-6 (Delany, 16.4), 126-7 (Campher, 17.4), 137-8 (Adair, 19), 143-9 (Dockrell, 19.3), 143-10 (Humphreys, 19.5)
| Bowling | O | M | R | W | Econ | Dots | Wd | Nb | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dushmantha Chameera | 3 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 8.33 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +0.5 |
| Maheesh Theekshana | 4 | 0 | 23 | 3 | 5.75 | 10 | 0 | 0 | +26.4 |
| Matheesha Pathirana | 2.5 | 0 | 26 | 2 | 9.18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | −11.0 |
| Dunith Wellalage | 4 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 7.00 | 9 | 1 | 0 | −18.2 |
| Wanindu Hasaranga | 4 | 0 | 25 | 3 | 6.25 | 7 | 0 | 0 | +37.8 |
| Dasun Shanaka | 2 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 6.00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +12.5 |
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The balls that decided it