Zimbabwe won by 23 runs
Before a ball was bowled the model made Australia 58% favourites, from the two XIs that took the field. They lost.
Zimbabwe win
Australia win
Turning point +22 to Zimbabwe. 14.2, the chase: Ryan Burl to Glenn Maxwell, wicket, 106/5, needing 64. Zimbabwe went from 59% to 81%.
Moved it most Glenn Maxwell −32.3 · Brad Evans +29.9 · Matthew Renshaw +23.1 · Tim David −18.9
| Batting | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Bennettnot out | 64* | 56 | 7 | 0 | 114.3 | −13.2 |
| T Marumanic JP Inglis b MP Stoinis | 35 | 21 | 7 | 0 | 166.7 | +1.6 |
| Ryan Burlc XC Bartlett (sub) b C Green | 35 | 30 | 4 | 0 | 116.7 | −8.5 |
| Sikandar Razanot out | 25* | 13 | 2 | 1 | 192.3 | +8.2 |
| Extras lb 3, w 7 | 10 | |||||
| Total 20 ov, 8.45 an over | 169/2 | |||||
Did not bat Dion Myers, T Munyonga, T Musekiwa, Brad Evans, Wellington Masakadza, Alexander Cremer, Blessing Muzarabani
Fall of wickets 61-1 (Marumani, 7.3), 131-2 (Burl, 16)
| Bowling | O | M | R | W | Econ | Dots | Wd | Nb | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Dwarshuis | 4 | 0 | 40 | 0 | 10.00 | 8 | 1 | 0 | −4.9 |
| Marcus Stoinis | 2.5 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 6.00 | 9 | 2 | 0 | +1.5 |
| Glenn Maxwell | 1 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 14.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | −0.4 |
| Matthew Kuhnemann | 3 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 8.00 | 5 | 0 | 0 | −0.3 |
| Nathan Ellis | 4 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 8.50 | 9 | 1 | 0 | +2.1 |
| Adam Zampa | 4 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 7.75 | 6 | 0 | 0 | +0.2 |
| Cameron Green | 1.1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5.14 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +3.7 |
| Batting | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Inglisc T Musekiwa b B Muzarabani | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 200.0 | +0.7 |
| Travis Headb B Evans | 17 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 113.3 | +13.1 |
| Cameron Greenc T Marumani b B Evans | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | −9.9 |
| Tim Davidc AG Cremer b B Muzarabani | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | −18.9 |
| Glenn Maxwellb RP Burl | 31 | 32 | 1 | 1 | 96.9 | −31.9 |
| Matthew Renshawc RP Burl b B Muzarabani | 65 | 44 | 5 | 1 | 147.7 | +23.1 |
| Marcus Stoinisc T Musekiwa b WP Masakadza | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 150.0 | +0.1 |
| Benjamin Dwarshuisc T Munyonga b B Evans | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 85.7 | −13.3 |
| Nathan Ellisnot out | 7* | 4 | 1 | 0 | 175.0 | 0.0 |
| Adam Zampab B Muzarabani | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | −0.1 |
| Matthew Kuhnemannrun out (B Evans) | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | −0.1 |
| Extras lb 2, w 2 | 4 | |||||
| Total 19.3 ov, 7.49 an over | 146 | |||||
Fall of wickets 13-1 (Inglis, 1.1), 24-2 (Green, 2.5), 25-3 (David, 3.2), 29-4 (Head, 4.3), 106-5 (Maxwell, 14.2), 117-6 (Stoinis, 15.4), 131-7 (Dwarshuis, 17.4), 139-8 (Renshaw, 18.4), 141-9 (Zampa, 19), 146-10 (Kuhnemann, 19.3)
| Bowling | O | M | R | W | Econ | Dots | Wd | Nb | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sikandar Raza | 2 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 8.50 | 3 | 0 | 0 | −15.2 |
| Blessing Muzarabani | 4 | 0 | 17 | 4 | 4.25 | 13 | 0 | 0 | +18.2 |
| Brad Evans | 3.3 | 0 | 23 | 3 | 6.57 | 9 | 1 | 0 | +29.8 |
| Dion Myers | 1 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9.00 | 2 | 1 | 0 | −3.2 |
| Alexander Cremer | 4 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 8.25 | 2 | 0 | 0 | −3.4 |
| Wellington Masakadza | 4 | 0 | 36 | 1 | 9.00 | 6 | 0 | 0 | −11.7 |
| Ryan Burl | 1 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 9.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +17.6 |
Win is the win chance a player added for his side, in points (100 = a match turned round): batting in the top table, bowling in the bottom. Point at or tap a player to see his balls on the chart.
The whole match on one screen: a row for every over, a square for every ball, coloured by how far it moved the match. Pick any ball, play it through, or click a name to follow one player.
The balls that decided it