New Zealand won by 61 runs
Before a ball was bowled the model made New Zealand 56% favourites, from the two XIs that took the field.
New Zealand win
Sri Lanka win
Turning point +14 to New Zealand. 0.1, the chase: Matt Henry to Pathum Nissanka, wicket, 0/1, needing 169. New Zealand went from 48% to 63%.
Moved it most Matt Henry +33.0 · Maheesh Theekshana +16.4 · Kusal Mendis −15.6 · Pathum Nissanka −14.4
| Batting | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Seifertc PHKD Mendis b PVD Chameera | 8 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 88.9 | −8.1 |
| Finn Allenc & b M Theekshana | 23 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 176.9 | +6.5 |
| Rachin Ravindrac MADI Hemantha b M Theekshana | 32 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 145.5 | −2.2 |
| Glenn Phillipsb PVD Chameera | 18 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | −6.2 |
| Daryl Mitchellb DN Wellalage | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 42.9 | −8.5 |
| Mark Chapmanb M Theekshana | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | −3.3 |
| Mitchell Santnerc KIC Asalanka b PVD Chameera | 47 | 26 | 2 | 4 | 180.8 | +8.3 |
| Cole McConchienot out | 31* | 23 | 3 | 2 | 134.8 | +7.0 |
| Extras lb 1, w 5 | 6 | |||||
| Total 20 ov, 8.40 an over | 168/7 | |||||
Did not bat Matt Henry, Ish Sodhi, Lockie Ferguson
Fall of wickets 30-1 (Allen, 3.1), 34-2 (Seifert, 4.2), 75-3 (Phillips, 9.3), 84-4 (Ravindra, 11.2), 84-5 (Chapman, 11.4), 84-6 (Mitchell, 12.1), 168-7 (Santner, 20)
| Bowling | O | M | R | W | Econ | Dots | Wd | Nb | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dilshan Madushanka | 3 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 11.33 | 5 | 3 | 0 | −13.0 |
| Dunith Wellalage | 4 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 6.75 | 9 | 0 | 0 | −4.8 |
| Maheesh Theekshana | 4 | 0 | 30 | 3 | 7.50 | 11 | 2 | 0 | +16.4 |
| Dushmantha Chameera | 4 | 0 | 38 | 3 | 9.50 | 11 | 0 | 0 | +11.9 |
| MADI Hemantha | 2 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 11.00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | −10.0 |
| Charith Asalanka | 3 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 5.33 | 6 | 0 | 0 | +2.5 |
| Batting | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pathum Nissankab MJ Henry | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | −14.4 |
| Kusal Mendisst TL Seifert b R Ravindra | 11 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 50.0 | −15.6 |
| Charith Asalankac DJ Mitchell b MJ Henry | 5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 55.6 | −13.1 |
| P Rathnayakest TL Seifert b R Ravindra | 10 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 55.6 | −9.7 |
| Kamindu Mendisc GD Phillips b MJ Santner | 31 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 134.8 | +2.4 |
| Dasun Shanakac FH Allen b R Ravindra | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 60.0 | −0.9 |
| MADI Hemanthac DJ Mitchell b R Ravindra | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | −0.7 |
| Dunith Wellalagec R Ravindra b GD Phillips | 29 | 23 | 2 | 1 | 126.1 | +0.2 |
| Dushmantha Chameeranot out | 7* | 12 | 0 | 0 | 58.3 | 0.0 |
| Maheesh Theekshananot out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.0 |
| Extras b 1, lb 1, w 5 | 7 | |||||
| Total 20 ov, 5.35 an over | 107/8 | |||||
Did not bat Dilshan Madushanka
Fall of wickets 0-1 (Nissanka, 0.1), 6-2 (Asalanka, 2.1), 27-3 (Mendis, 8.1), 29-4 (Rathnayake, 8.2), 46-5 (Shanaka, 10.3), 59-6 (Hemantha, 12.2), 77-7 (Mendis, 15), 105-8 (Wellalage, 19.4)
| Bowling | O | M | R | W | Econ | Dots | Wd | Nb | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Henry | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1.50 | 10 | 0 | 0 | +33.0 |
| Cole McConchie | 3 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 6.67 | 8 | 1 | 0 | +4.3 |
| Mitchell Santner | 4 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 4.75 | 11 | 0 | 0 | +4.3 |
| Lockie Ferguson | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2.00 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +7.8 |
| Ish Sodhi | 2 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 6.50 | 2 | 0 | 0 | −2.9 |
| Rachin Ravindra | 4 | 0 | 27 | 4 | 6.75 | 11 | 4 | 0 | +1.9 |
| Glenn Phillips | 4 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 5.25 | 9 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
Win is the win chance a player added for his side, in points (100 = a match turned round): batting in the top table, bowling in the bottom. Point at or tap a player to see his balls on the chart.
The whole match on one screen: a row for every over, a square for every ball, coloured by how far it moved the match. Pick any ball, play it through, or click a name to follow one player.
The balls that decided it
