Kent won by 27 runs
Before a ball was bowled the model made Middlesex 56% favourites, from the two XIs that took the field. They lost.
Kent win
Middlesex win
Turning point +21 to Kent. 7.6, the chase: Thomas Rogers to Leus du Plooy, wicket, 89/2, needing 120. Kent went from 53% to 74%.
Moved it most Adam Rossington +45.7 · Samuel Billings +29.2 · Frederick Klaassen −26.9 · Ryan Higgins −21.4
| Batting | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tawanda Muyeyec AM Rossington b LBK Hollman | 38 | 25 | 3 | 2 | 152.0 | +0.7 |
| Daniel Bell-Drummondc Zafar Gohar b TG Helm | 26 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 216.7 | +14.0 |
| Zak Crawleyc CM Falconer b NB Cornwell | 36 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 138.5 | +0.4 |
| Samuel Billingsnot out | 84* | 37 | 9 | 5 | 227.0 | +29.2 |
| Joseph Denlyc LBK Hollman b NB Cornwell | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | −3.0 |
| Chris Benjaminc RF Higgins b Zafar Gohar | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | −7.4 |
| JDM Evisonretired out | 5 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 41.7 | −9.1 |
| Thomas Rogersnot out | 6* | 3 | 1 | 0 | 200.0 | +5.2 |
| Extras b 1, lb 4, w 7, nb 1 | 13 | |||||
| Total 20 ov, 10.40 an over | 208/6 | |||||
Did not bat Jacob Lintott, Matthew Milnes, Frederick Klaassen
Fall of wickets 40-1 (Bell-Drummond, 3.4), 91-2 (Muyeye, 8.2), 133-3 (Crawley, 13.1), 133-4 (Denly, 13.3), 150-5 (Benjamin, 15), 194-6 (Evison, 19)
| Bowling | O | M | R | W | Econ | Dots | Wd | Nb | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eathan Bosch | 2 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 12.00 | 4 | 0 | 0 | −15.0 |
| Noah Cornwell | 4 | 1 | 25 | 2 | 6.25 | 15 | 2 | 0 | +4.4 |
| Thomas Helm | 3 | 0 | 34 | 1 | 11.33 | 5 | 2 | 1 | −1.1 |
| Ryan Higgins | 3 | 0 | 41 | 0 | 13.67 | 4 | 1 | 0 | −12.6 |
| Luke Hollman | 4 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 7.50 | 7 | 0 | 0 | +5.8 |
| Zafar Gohar | 4 | 0 | 49 | 1 | 12.25 | 7 | 2 | 0 | −19.2 |
| Batting | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Holdenc TS Rogers b ME Milnes | 20 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 125.0 | −11.2 |
| Adam Rossingtonc FJ Klaassen b TS Rogers | 79 | 43 | 9 | 4 | 183.7 | +45.7 |
| Leus du Plooyc TS Muyeye b TS Rogers | 19 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 190.0 | −7.2 |
| CM Falconerc SW Billings b JB Lintott | 12 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 80.0 | −17.8 |
| Ryan Higginsc CG Benjamin b JB Lintott | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | −8.7 |
| Eathan Boschc TS Muyeye b TS Rogers | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 109.1 | −3.0 |
| Luke Hollmanc Z Crawley b TS Rogers | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | −2.4 |
| SHB Morgannot out | 19* | 10 | 3 | 0 | 190.0 | +0.5 |
| Zafar Goharc JB Lintott b ME Milnes | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 122.2 | −0.3 |
| Thomas Helmnot out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.0 |
| Extras lb 2, w 6 | 8 | |||||
| Total 20 ov, 9.05 an over | 181/8 | |||||
Did not bat Noah Cornwell
Fall of wickets 61-1 (Holden, 5.3), 89-2 (du Plooy, 8), 125-3 (Falconer, 12.4), 125-4 (Higgins, 13), 141-5 (Rossington, 15.3), 141-6 (Hollman, 16), 158-7 (Bosch, 17.3), 172-8 (Gohar, 19.3)
| Bowling | O | M | R | W | Econ | Dots | Wd | Nb | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frederick Klaassen | 4 | 0 | 37 | 0 | 9.25 | 9 | 1 | 0 | −26.9 |
| Thomas Rogers | 4 | 0 | 39 | 4 | 9.75 | 11 | 0 | 0 | +16.1 |
| Matthew Milnes | 4 | 0 | 38 | 2 | 9.50 | 8 | 1 | 0 | +2.7 |
| Joseph Denly | 2 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 9.50 | 2 | 0 | 0 | −6.3 |
| Jacob Lintott | 4 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 6.25 | 9 | 2 | 0 | +9.3 |
| JDM Evison | 2 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 10.50 | 1 | 2 | 0 | −9.7 |
Win is the win chance a player added for his side, in points (100 = a match turned round): batting in the top table, bowling in the bottom. Point at or tap a player to see his balls on the chart.
The whole match on one screen: a row for every over, a square for every ball, coloured by how far it moved the match. Pick any ball, play it through, or click a name to follow one player.
The balls that decided it
