Middlesex won by 31 runs
Before a ball was bowled the model made Sussex 52% favourites, from the two XIs that took the field. They lost.
Middlesex win
Sussex win
Turning point +16 to Middlesex. 14.3, the chase: Zafar Gohar to James Coles, wicket, 143/5, needing 71. Middlesex went from 74% to 90%.
Moved it most Max Holden +24.6 · James Coles −22.2 · Tymal Mills +17.2 · Fynn Hudson-Prentice −13.5
| Batting | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Holdenc TP Alsop b DR Briggs | 77 | 41 | 6 | 5 | 187.8 | +24.6 |
| Adam Rossingtonc JM Coles b TS Mills | 10 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 100.0 | −11.1 |
| JM De Cairesnot out | 80* | 44 | 7 | 5 | 181.8 | +8.7 |
| Leus du Plooylbw b TS Mills | 36 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 171.4 | +1.8 |
| Luke Hollmanc JJ Carson b TS Mills | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | −1.9 |
| Ryan Higginsnot out | 2* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | −0.2 |
| Extras lb 1, w 5 | 6 | |||||
| Total 20 ov, 10.65 an over | 213/4 | |||||
Did not bat CM Falconer, Eathan Bosch, Zafar Gohar, Thomas Helm, Noah Cornwell
Fall of wickets 33-1 (Rossington, 3.4), 128-2 (Holden, 12.4), 193-3 (du Plooy, 18.2), 195-4 (Hollman, 18.4)
| Bowling | O | M | R | W | Econ | Dots | Wd | Nb | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Coles | 4 | 0 | 41 | 0 | 10.25 | 7 | 1 | 0 | −13.7 |
| Fynn Hudson-Prentice | 4 | 0 | 52 | 0 | 13.00 | 3 | 3 | 0 | −12.0 |
| Tymal Mills | 4 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 7.75 | 12 | 1 | 0 | +17.1 |
| Daniel Lamb | 2 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 14.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | −9.8 |
| Danny Briggs | 4 | 0 | 33 | 1 | 8.25 | 6 | 0 | 0 | +4.0 |
| JJ Carson | 2 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 13.50 | 3 | 0 | 0 | −9.4 |
| Batting | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Hughesc CM Falconer b E Bosch | 14 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 107.7 | −10.9 |
| Tom Clarkc AM Rossington b TG Helm | 31 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 238.5 | +11.4 |
| James Colesc E Bosch b Zafar Gohar | 33 | 27 | 3 | 0 | 122.2 | −8.5 |
| John Simpsonc TG Helm b LBK Hollman | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 116.7 | −4.8 |
| Thomas Alsopc RF Higgins b JM De Caires | 43 | 24 | 5 | 2 | 179.2 | +1.6 |
| Jack Leaningc MDE Holden b E Bosch | 14 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 127.3 | +9.3 |
| Daniel Lamblbw b Zafar Gohar | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | −2.2 |
| JJ Carsonc JL du Plooy b TG Helm | 8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 160.0 | −1.3 |
| Fynn Hudson-Prenticec E Bosch b TG Helm | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | −1.4 |
| Danny Briggsc E Bosch b NB Cornwell | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 80.0 | −0.4 |
| Tymal Millsnot out | 20* | 11 | 4 | 0 | 181.8 | 0.0 |
| Extras lb 2, w 5 | 7 | |||||
| Total 19.4 ov, 9.25 an over | 182 | |||||
Fall of wickets 39-1 (Hughes, 3.5), 51-2 (Clark, 4.4), 65-3 (Simpson, 6.1), 132-4 (Alsop, 13.3), 143-5 (Coles, 14.3), 145-6 (Lamb, 15), 157-7 (Carson, 16.3), 157-8 (Hudson-Prentice, 16.4), 161-9 (Leaning, 17.3), 182-10 (Briggs, 19.4)
| Bowling | O | M | R | W | Econ | Dots | Wd | Nb | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Cornwell | 3.4 | 0 | 32 | 1 | 8.73 | 7 | 0 | 0 | −1.7 |
| Thomas Helm | 4 | 0 | 41 | 3 | 10.25 | 9 | 0 | 0 | −0.7 |
| Eathan Bosch | 4 | 0 | 37 | 2 | 9.25 | 8 | 1 | 0 | −3.5 |
| Luke Hollman | 2 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 6.50 | 5 | 0 | 0 | +5.3 |
| Zafar Gohar | 4 | 0 | 38 | 2 | 9.50 | 7 | 3 | 0 | −0.8 |
| JM De Caires | 2 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 9.50 | 2 | 1 | 0 | −0.9 |
Win is the win chance a player added for his side, in points (100 = a match turned round): batting in the top table, bowling in the bottom. Point at or tap a player to see his balls on the chart.
The whole match on one screen: a row for every over, a square for every ball, coloured by how far it moved the match. Pick any ball, play it through, or click a name to follow one player.
The balls that decided it
